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Expert prediction

NFL Week 2: Patriots vs. Dolphins Preview, Odds, Picks (Sep 14)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Sep 9, 2025 at 7:27 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Patriots vs. Dolphins odds favor Miami at -130.
  • Tua Tagovailoa had three turnovers against the Colts.
  • The Patriots had just 60 rushing yards against the Raiders.

Both of these AFC East teams have lost their opening games. That’s why the upcoming event at the Hard Rock Stadium has huge value. Plus, there’s the momentum and the direct win over the division rivals.

If you are interested in more NFL odds and predictions, follow this link.

How to Watch

  • When: Sunday, September 14, 1 pm ET
  • Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Florida
  • How to Watch: CBS

Patriots vs. Dolphins Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotals
Patriots+105+1.543.5
Dolphins-125-1.543.5

Game Preview

The Pats’ defense didn’t do well against the Raiders. They allowed Smith to throw 362 passing yards, meaning that the secondary underachieved in this one. Pass rush was OK, as Patriots had 4 sacks, with Harold Landry II posting 2.5 sacks and 4 QB hits.

New England’s run game was another reason for this defeat. The rushers combined for 60 yards. That’s simply not enough. The only bright spot in the Patriots was the WR Kayshon Boutte, who had 103 receiving yards.

Dolphins got hammered in Indianapolis, where the Colts rolled over Mike McDaniel’s unit, 33-8. They had only 12 first downs, compared to the Colts’ 27. Overall, Miami had 211 yards from scrimmage, while rivals posted 418.

Tua had 114 passing yards with one touchdown, two picks, and a fumble, and was eventually benched. Zach Wilson entered with 32 passing yards, yet without any notable impact.

Patriots vs. Dolphins Head to Head

This is one of the NFL’s biggest rivalries. There were 119 games, and the Fins lead 64-55. They also have four wins in a row over the Pats, 8 in the last 9 events.

Patriots vs. Dolphins Predictions

The main thing here is Tua and his protection. That looked shaky in the opening event. Meanwhile, the Pats offense struggled as well, which is why we go with under 43.5 points.

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