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Expert prediction

NFL Week 4: Jets vs. Dolphins Preview, Odds, Picks (Sep 29)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Sep 24, 2025 at 5:05 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Jets vs. Dolphins game features two AFC East teams that are 0-3.
  • Mike McDaniel is under pressure and could be fired if the Fins lose.
  • Tyrod Taylor starts instead of Justin Fields for the Jets.

Whoever loses here will most likely miss this year’s playoffs, even though the season is still in its early stages. However, if Miami loses, head coach Mike McDaniel might also lose his job.

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How to Watch

  • When: Monday, September 29, 7:15 pm ET
  • Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Florida
  • How to Watch: ESPN

Jets vs. Dolphins Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotals
Jets+130+2.545.5
Dolphins-150-2.545.5

Game Preview

The Jets lost two games by a narrow margin, one of which was in Tampa Bay last Sunday, where they conceded a late field goal that ultimately decided the result, 29-27 for the Bucs.

Tyrod Taylor replaced Justin Fields, and he had 197 passing yards for 2 touchdowns, one interception, and one fumble. He ran for 48 more yards, and overall, wasn’t that bad. Will McDonald IV had one field-goal block return, arguably the play of the week, which resulted in a touchdown.

Miami Dolphins allow 32.3 points per game, the most in the NFL right now. Their defensive stats are awful, but so are their offensive stats as well. They didn’t look that bad against the Bills on the road, losing just 31-21, showing some signs of recovery.

Tua Tagovailoa, once the passing yardage leader in the NFL, had only 146 passing yards for 2 touchdowns and one pick. The Dolphins’ quarterback is looking worse and worse as the season progresses.

Jets vs. Dolphins Head to Head

After 119 games, the result in the series is 67-57-1 in favor of the Fins. Last year, both teams won at home, Miami 32-26 after OT, and the Jets 32-20 in New York.

Jets vs. Dolphins Predictions

The Jets had several close games, and in general, they looked better than Miami. Their defense is solid, unlike the Dolphins’, and we will back up the guests to triumph in this contest.

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