Skip to content

Expert prediction

NHL Playoffs Game 3: Maple Leafs vs Lightning Prediction, Odds, and Picks (Apr 22)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Apr 21, 2023 at 3:37 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Toronto Maple Leafs came storming back in game two to level the series
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has home advantage for games three and four

Interesting action in the Eastern Conference playoffs continues on Saturday, as game three of the series between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs takes center stage. The Lightning will hope that home advantage can guide them to a 2-1 series lead.


How To Watch

  • When: Saturday, April 22, 2023, at 7:00 p.m ET
  • Where: Amalie Arena, Tampa Bay
  • How To Watch: NHL TV

Odds

Maple LeafsLightning

Team News

The series between the Maple Leafs and Lightning could be set to go down to the wire, just as it did when the teams clashed in the opening round of the playoffs last season. After being blown away in the opening game between the sides, the Maple Leafs needed an instant response at the Scotiabank Arena in game two on Thursday.

That was exactly what happened, as Toronto landed a massive 7-2 home win over the Lightning. The offense flourished throughout that game, with the Maple Leafs scoring three goals in each of the opening two periods. The Lightning’s only goals came in the second and third periods when the game was effectively already over.

READ MORE: F1 Picks: Azerbaijan Grand Prix Predictions, Preview, and Odds (Apr 30)

John Tavares was one of the standout stars for the Leafs on Thursday, as he scored three goals in the huge win. Mitch Marner ended the night with two goals and an assist, while Morgan Rielly capped an excellent performance with four assists. William Nylander and Zach Aston-Reese also found the net.

Like the Leafs did after game one, the Lighting will now be on a discovery mission before game three. They started incredibly slowly in game two, and they will need to be much more alert in the opening period for game three. Their only goals in response were netted by Ian Cole and Corey Perry.


Picks

The Lightning won two of their three home games against the Leafs in the playoffs last season, but Toronto did pick up a 4-3 win in the most recent meeting between the sides at Amalie Arena. With the pressure on the Lightning, we could see the Maple Leafs landing a big blow on Saturday evening.

Moneyline

Spread

NHL

More Predictions

NHL Insight

NHL Predictions Today: Best Bets and Picks for Friday, Nov 6

Free NHL Pick: Minnesota Wild Moneyline (-255) Best Value Pick: Calgary Flames Moneyline (-120) Puck Line Pick: Minnesota Wild -1.5 (+105) NHL Parlay: Sabres, Wild, Flames (+305) Bet Today’s NHL Games at BetUS After having a winning best bet and a correct value play on Thursday, our attention turns to Friday’s slate of games in […]

Alex Dudley 3 min read

NHL Insight

NHL Betting Picks: Best Bets For All Games on Oct 27, 2026

Seven games make up the NHL regular season schedule on Oct 27. We landed our best pick and best value selection on Oct 25, and we will be aiming to maintain our red-hot form with the games on Tuesday. Standout clashes include the Carolina Hurricanes hosting the Boston Bruins, while the Florida Panthers travel to […]

Alex Dudley 3 min read

NHL Insight

NHL Picks and Parlays Today: Best Bets For All Games on Oct 26, 2026

Three games make up the NHL regular season schedule on Oct 26. We landed our best pick and best value selection on Oct 25. The New York Rangers will be in action on Monday when they host the Los Angeles Kings, while the Toronto Maple Leafs and Detroit Red Wings travel to the Calgary Flames […]

Alex Dudley 3 min read

NHL Insight

NHL Picks and Parlays Today: Best Bets For All Games on Oct 25, 2026

Four games make up the NHL regular season schedule on Oct 25, with the Chicago Blackhawks hosting the Florida Panthers and the Dallas Stars welcoming the New York Islanders to the American Airlines Center. You can find our NHL picks and parlays for the slate of NHL games this Sunday here. NHL Picks and Parlays: […]

Alex Dudley 2 min read

NHL Insight

NHL Predictions for Today: Best Bets for All Games on Oct 24, 2026

A busy Saturday evening of NHL regular season action is set for Oct 24, as we chase another winning night of picks after correctly predicting nine of our eleven selections on Oct 22. Our NHL predictions for today can be found below, including our standout best pick and a potential value angle that could earn […]

Alex Dudley 3 min read