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Aston Villa vs. Liverpool Picks – Betting Preview, Team News, Predictions, and Prop Pick (May 15) 

  • Alex Dudley
  • May 13, 2026 at 6:25 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • When: Friday, May 15, 2026. 9:00 AM ET
  • Where: Villa Park, Birmingham, England
  • How to Watch: NBC
Match ResultOdds
Aston Villa+198
The Draw+281
Liverpool+129

Aston Villa vs. Liverpool Preview

The race for a Champions League spot in the English Premier League continues on May 15, as fourth-placed Aston Villa host third-placed Liverpool. A defeat for either would lead to a nervy final day of the season, as they could be overtaken by Brighton or Bournemouth.  

ALSO SEE: Preakness Stakes Picks – Horse Racing Odds, Betting Preview, and Predictions (May 16)

Aston Villa Stats & Team News

  • Overall Record: 17-8-11
  • Home Record: 11-2-5
  • Road Record: 6-6-6

One of the biggest weeks in Aston Villa’s recent history gets underway at Villa Park on Friday. Unai Emery will be preparing his side for the Europa League final, which takes place just under a week after this clash with Liverpool. Emery is expected to make changes to his starting eleven, with John McGinn likely to be rested on Friday.

However, it could be worth noting that Villa have avoided defeat in their final home match of a Premier League season in each of the last six campaigns. But, Villa’s recent form is a concern after losing four of their previous eight at Villa Park.

Likely Line-Up:

(4-2-3-1): Martinez (GK); Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne; Luiz, Tielemans; Sancho, Rogers, Buendia; Watkins

Liverpool Stats & Team News

  • Overall Record: 17-8-11
  • Home Record: 10-5-3
  • Road Record: 7-3-8

Arne Slot’s long term future at Liverpool remains in the air, with much of his chances of being in charge next season likely to hinge around Champions League qualification. The Reds have won 47% of their EPL fixtures in 2025-26, but they have been far too easy to beat, especially on the road. Liverpool’s eleven away defeats this season is their most since 2011-12.

Mohamed Salah and Hugo Ekitike are missing due to injury this week, but Alexander Isak could be recalled after being named in Sweden’s World Cup squad.

Likely Line-Up:

(4-2-3-1): Marmardashvili (GK); Frimpong, Konate, van Dijk, Kerkez; Gravenberch, Jones; Ngumoha, Szoboszlai, Gakpo; Isak

Head-to-Head Trends

  • Aston Villa have won once in their last 16 Premier League encounters against Liverpool.
  • Liverpool have scored at least twice in ten of their last eleven trips to Villa Park.

Aston Villa vs. Liverpool Prop Picks

Dominik Szoboszlai has been one of the few Liverpool players to play near his peak this season, registering eleven goal involvements in 34 starts. His recent form in front of goal has been excellent, scoring in the recent loss at Man United. The Hungarian could make the difference at Villa Park on Friday.

Aston Villa vs. Liverpool Picks

Aston Villa’s form has dipped due to their European involvement, and with next week’s Europa League final creeping into sight, they could be distracted on Friday. Therefore, it is worth following Liverpool’s excellent EPL head-to-head record against Villa this week.

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