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Champions League Quarter-Final: Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction, Preview, and Odds (Apr 18)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Apr 14, 2023 at 3:42 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • AC Milan claimed a 1-0 win in the first leg
  • Napoli has home advantage in their fight to reach the last four

The all-Italian showdown in the quarterfinals of the Champions League could be the most interesting as we approach the second legs. AC Milan picked up a huge 1-0 win at the San Siro in the first leg, but Napoli has home advantage for the return game on Tuesday.


How To Watch

  • When: Tuesday, Apr 18, 2023, at 3:00 p.m ET
  • Where: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples, Italy
  • How To Watch: CBS Network

Odds

NapoliDrawAC Milan

Game Preview

Napoli’s dominance in Serie A this season has been unquestionable, and barring a miracle, they look to be on track for a first league title since 1990. However, there have been glimpses in recent weeks that the team is running out of momentum. There was more evidence in the clash with AC Milan in the first leg last week.

Despite dominating the possession, Napoli just couldn’t make a crucial breakthrough in front of goal, and was handed a 1-0 defeat. But, in front of a fever-pitch Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Tuesday, they will be expected to have the ability to overturn their disadvantage against the reigning Italian champions.

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AC Milan has been one of the surprise packages in Europe this season, as they have made it through to the quarterfinals of the Champions League for the first time since 2012. They will have a slender advantage to hold on to in Naples, with their winning goal at the San Siro being netted by Ismael Bennacer.

They could yet set the scene for a massive Milan derby in the semi-finals this season, but the visitors will be huge outsiders in the betting. However, they can take confidence from their previous visit to Naples just a few weeks ago, as they record a huge 4-0 away win.


Prediction

The betting would suggest that this is an open-and-shut case in Naples. However, like Real Madrid, Milan has a love affair with the Champions League, and their battling qualities were evident in the first leg. I could see them scrapping for every ball and just edging over the line in Naples with a draw.

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