Expert prediction
Leeds vs. Burnley Picks – Betting Preview, Team News, Predictions, and Prop Picks (May 1)
- Alex Dudley
- Apr 28, 2026 at 5:56 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- When: Friday, May 1, 2026. 3:00 PM ET
- Where: Elland Road, Leeds, England
- How to Watch: NBC
Leeds vs. Burnley Preview
The English Premier League is edging towards its conclusion, and Leeds United could take a giant step toward securing their top-flight status for next season when they host Burnley at Elland Road. You can find our picks for the bottom-of-the-league clash here.
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Leeds Stats & Team News
- Overall Record: 9-13-12
- Home Record: 7-5-5
- Road Record: 2-8-7
Daniel Farke will have a week to pick up his Leeds players following an FA Cup semi-final defeat against Chelsea. However, plenty of positives can be taken from their recent form on the field, having won two of their last three clashes in the Premier League to move six points clear of the drop zone.
Home form has been one of Leeds United’s best assets in their battle to stay in the Premier League, losing just five of their 17 at Elland Road in 2025-26. Brenden Aaronson has been one of the most creative players in the team, with the American registering a team-high of five assists.
Team News:
Gabriel Gudmundsson (Hamstring), Ilia Gruev (Knee)
Likely Line-Up:
(3-4-2-1): Darlow (GK); Justin, Bijol, Struijk; Bogle, Ampadu, Tanaka, Longstaff; Okafor, Aaronson; Calvert-Lewin
Burnley Stats & Team News
- Overall Record: 4-8-22
- Home Record: 2-5-10
- Road Record: 2-3-12
Burnley’s season-long stay in the Premier League has already come to an end, as their relegation to the Championship was confirmed last weekend. Questions are now being asked of Scott Parker’s long-term future at the club, with Steven Gerrard being lined up to replace the current head coach.
The Clarets have suffered defeats in each of their last four, and they have failed to score in four of their previous six in the Premier League. Zian Flemming has been a rare bright spark, scoring a team-high nine goals.
Team News:
Axel Tuanzebe (Other), Hannibal Mejbri (Thigh), Connor Roberts (Knee), Josh Cullen (Knee)
Likely Line-Up:
(5-4-1): Dubravka (GK); Walker, Ekdal, Humphreys, Esteve, Hartman; Tchaouna, Ward-Prowse, Laurent, Anthony; Flemming
Head-to-Head Trends
- Burnley have avoided defeat in their last three matches against Leeds, recording a 2-0 win in the reverse fixture.
- Leeds have recorded wins in two of their previous three clashes with Burnley at Elland Road.
Leeds vs Burnley Prop Picks
American international Brenden Aaronson has been an integral player in the final third for Leeds, registering nine goal involvements in 27 starts. His recent form has also been excellent, recording two assists in his last four. Therefore, he could be the standout angle to score or assist against Burnley on Friday.
Leeds vs. Burnley Picks
Burnley have struggled throughout the Premier League season, and they will have nothing to play for this week. Therefore, in-form Leeds look like the obvious win angle to bounce back to form following their cup heartbreak against Chelsea last Sunday.
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