Expert prediction
Mexico vs. England Picks – World Cup Round of 16 Betting Preview, Team News, and Predictions (Jul 5)
- Alex Dudley
- Jul 2, 2026 at 6:02 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- When: Sunday, July 5, 2026. 8:00 PM ET
- Where: Mexico City Stadium, Mexico
- How to Watch: FOX, Telemundo
Mexico vs. England World Cup Preview
All eyes will be on the historic Azteca Stadium on Sunday evening, as co-hosts Mexico take on England. It will be England’s first trip to the legendary stadium in Mexico City since the infamous Hand of God Goal, while this round of 16 clash represents the final time that Mexico will have home-field advantage at this summer’s World Cup.
ALSO SEE: World Cup 2026: Our Experts Share Their World Cup Picks
Mexico Stats & Team News
Javier Aguirre’s Mexico have enjoyed a sensational summer in front of their own fans, winning all four of their clashes without conceding.
Earlier this week, El Tri maintained their stunning record on home soil with a comfortable 2-0 win over Ecuador, as they easily held out their South American opponents.
Raul Jimenez scored in the victory to take his tally for the tournament to two goals in three games. A major narrative worth following this weekend is the fact that Mexico have lost just two of their last 89 competitive fixtures at the Azteca, and they are unbeaten at their Mexico City home since 2013.
Likely Lineup:
(4-1-2-3) Rangel (GK); Sanchez, Montes, Vasquez, Gallardo; Lira; Mora, Romo; Alvarado, Jimenez, Quinones
England Stats & Team News
England will have the odds stacked against them this weekend, as they will be playing at an uncomfortable altitude in sweltering conditions.
Thomas Tuchel’s side are yet to hit top gear at the World Cup, but much of that has been down to the opposition that they have faced. England has struggled to break down Ghana, Panama, and DR Congo in their last three fixtures, with each deploying a deep, low block. However, the star quality in the squad has been apparent, with Harry Kane netting a brace in the comeback win against Congo in midweek.
The style of the game against Mexico will be different, which will play to the strengths of the Three Lions, but how they deal with the conditions in Mexico City will be crucial to their chances.
Likely Lineup:
(4-2-3-1) Pickford (GK); Rice, Guehi, Konsa, O’Reilly; Anderson, Bellingham; Saka, Rogers, Gordon; Kane
Head-to-Head Stats
- England beat Mexico 2-0 in the only previous World Cup meeting between the sides in 1966.
- The Three Lions have won the last four head-to-head encounters, including a 3-1 friendly success in May 2010.
Mexico vs. England World Cup Picks
The style of this game will mean that we will see a different England performance, as there will be pressure on Mexico to take the game to the Three Lions. That will open up the space that England have craved in recent fixtures, and their attacking players should sparkle. If handling conditions, the Three Lions could reignite their World Cup aspirations in Mexico City.
Soccer
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