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MLS: Toronto FC vs. Atlanta United Odds, Preview, and Picks (Jul 12)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Jul 11, 2025 at 3:39 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

Two sides that have endured miserable campaigns in the MLS so far this season will lock horns in Canada on Saturday. Toronto has won just four of their 20 matches in the competition this season, while Atlanta United are also staring down the barrel of missing out on a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Find the odds and picks here.


How To Watch

  • When: Saturday, July 12, 2025, at 7:30 P.M. ET
  • Where: BMO Field, Toronto, Canada
  • How To Watch: Apple TV

Odds

Match ResultOdds
Toronto FC+140
Draw+250
Atlanta United+187

Match Preview

The pressure will be back on Toronto FC this weekend, as the Canadian team bid to end their poor sequence against Atlanta United. Toronto has won just once across their last six matches in the MLS, but it could be noted that their only succes over that period was recorded in their most recent home match.

Despite that, the BMO Field hasn’t been a happy hunting ground for Toronto this season, as they have won just 17% of their home fixtures. One of their biggest issues this season has been scoring goals, as they have netted just 1.15 per game. That metric drops to 0.75 per 90 when taking into account just home fixtures.

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Atlanta United don’t come into this round in much better form, having failed to win in their last four in the MLS. However, small positives can be taken from their most recent outing after keeping a very rare clean sheet in a 0-0 draw against D.C. United on the road.

It should be worth noting that all four of Atlanta’s wins in the MLS this season have come in home fixtures. On the road, they have lost 70% of their ten matches. Scoring goals has also been their biggest issue, as Atlanta have averaged a poor 0.5 efforts per fixture in away matches.


Head-to-Head Record

Atlanta United will take confidence from their recent record against Toronto, as they have avoided defeat in four of the last five MLS matches between the sides. Their only defeat was suffered in this exact fixture last season.


Toronto FC vs. Atlanta United Picks

Both of these sides bring poor form to the table this weekend. However, the fact that Atlanta have failed to win on the road this term is hard to dismiss. Therefore, we see their long winless run being extended at BMO Field, as Toronto claim a rare victory.

Free Picks:

  • Toronto FC

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