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Expert prediction

WC Qualifier: Sweden vs. Poland Preview, Odds, and Picks (Mar 31)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Mar 29, 2026 at 5:35 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Sweden kept alive their World Cup dreams with a semi-final win over Ukraine
  • Poland overcame Albania in their World Cup qualifier semi-final

The Road to World Cup qualification concludes this week, as the European playoffs continue. Sweden underperformed in qualification but will be narrowly preferred to overcome Poland on March 31.

How to Watch

  • When: Tuesday, March 31, 2026. 2:45 PM ET
  • Where: Friends Arena, Stockholm, Sweden
  • How to Watch: FOX

Sweden vs. Poland Odds

Match ResultOdds
Sweden+102
The Draw+240
Poland+283

Sweden vs. Poland Head-to-Head

The hosts have won four of their six head-to-head clashes with Poland. However, the latest meeting was won 2-0 by Poland in March 2022.

ALSO SEE: Cook Out 400 Picks, Odds & Preview (Mar 29)

Game Preview

A competitive World Cup playoff final is set for Stockholm on March 31, as Sweden and Poland collide for a spot in Group F alongside the Netherlands, Japan, and Tunisia.

Graham Potter’s Sweden endured a miserable qualification campaign, failing to win.

However, the Swedes produced one of their best performances under their new head coach in the semi-final against Ukraine. Arsenal striker Viktor Gyokeres was the match-winner, netting a crucial hat-trick. Importantly, the victory ended a six-game winless run.

Poland will likely be the more confident of the two teams ahead of this clash, having suffered just one defeat in their last eleven internationals.

The Poles held their nerve with home field advantage in their semi-final against Albania, securing a 2-1 win on Thursday. Robert Lewandowski played a crucial role in the success, scoring the opener. The Barcelona forward has now netted 89 international goals in 164 appearances.

Sweden vs. Poland Picks

Jan Urban’s Poland are overlooked in the betting third week, but their experience in the playoffs could count for a lot. Therefore, the away win is preferred against an inconsistent Sweden.

Free Pick:

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