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UCL Playoffs: Benfica vs. Real Madrid Preview Odds, Predictions, Picks (Feb 17)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Feb 15, 2026 at 6:46 AM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Benfica vs. Real Madrid Round of 16 will be very interesting.
  • Benfica defeated Real in the final round of the group stage, 4-2.
  • Real Madrid has three wins in a row.

These two units met in the final group-stage fixture, when Benfica won and secured its place in the knockout phase with a last-minute goal. Now they meet again.

For more UCL previews and predictions click here.

How to Watch

  • When: Tuesday, February 17, 12:45 PM ET
  • Where: La Luz, Lisbon, Portugal
  • How to Watch: Paramount+

Benfica vs. Real Madrid Odds

TeamOdds
Benfica+290
Tie+250
Real Madrid-105

Game Odds

The Eagles are on an undefeated five-game streak, during which they have posted 4 wins and 1 tie. This team looks solid at the moment, and overall, since Mourinho took over, Benfica’s performances have been respectable.

What is different from before, given Mourinho’s style of play, is that Benfica’s defense frequently concedes. Over the past 10 matches, the Eagles have kept only 3 clean sheets.

Real Madrid boosted its morale this Saturday night by beating Real Sociedad, 4-1 at home. The final result could have been much higher, but the Los Blancos took their foot off the gas in the second half.

Real’s overall form looks good right now, with 6 wins in the previous 7 across all competitions. The only time they failed to be on the triumphant side was the one in Lisbon against the upcoming rivals.

Benfica vs. Real Madrid Head to Head

As stated, the most recent event saw Benfica win 4-2, with a last-second goal that sent them through to the knockout phase. Prior to that, their previous clash was in 2012, a friendly, where Benfica blew away Real, 5-2.

Benfica vs. Real Madrid Predictions

This will be a high-scoring affair because both teams have much better attacks than the opposing defenses. Their recent results have shown that. So over 2.5 goals in this one is our bet.

  • Free UCL picks: Over 2.5 goals

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