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Expert prediction

ATP Finals: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Lorenzo Musetti Picks, Odds, and Preview (Nov 13)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Nov 12, 2025 at 5:49 AM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

The final round of games in the ATP Finals group stage will be held on Nov 13. Carlos Alcaraz has been the dominant force in the Jimmy Connors group to this stage, and he will be aiming to maintain his perfect record when he comes up against Lorenzo Musetti. Find our picks here.


Event Overview

  • When: Thursday, November 13, 2025. 2:30 PM ET
  • Where: Inalpi Arena, Turin, Italy
  • How to Watch: USA

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Lorenzo Musetti Odds

Match ResultOdds
Carlos AlcarazTBA
Lorenzo MusettiTBA

Head-to-Head Record

As expected, Alcaraz holds the dominant head-to-head record in meetings between these stars. The Spanish star has won six of the previous seven encounters, which includes three victories this calendar year.

ALSO SEE: Las Vegas Grand Prix Picks, Odds, and Preview (Nov 22)


Game Preview

The action in the ATP Finals continues on Thursday with a fascinating clash between Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti. Alcaraz has been the dominant player in the Jimmy Connors Group to this stage, winning each of his two matches against Taylor Fritz and Alex de Minaur.

Alcaraz’s dominant level of performance has seen him drop just one set, and he won an impressive 74% of the points on his first set in his recent victory over Fritz. The Spanish star’s record this season has been staggering, winning 67 of his matches, and losing just eight times.

Lorenzo Musetti will have the odds stacked against him this week, as he bids to cause a major upset to book his spot in the semi-final stage. The Italian has a 44-20 record on the ATP Tour this season, and is one of the few players in the Finals that is yet to win a title in 2025.

However, he should come into this clash in good confidence after overcoming Alex de Minaur on Tuesday. That win means that a second success will likely secure his place in the next round of the Finals. The Italian served excellently in that win, registering five aces.


Carlos Alcaraz vs. Lorenzo Musetti Picks

Musetti has struggled in all three matches that he has played against Alcaraz this season, and there are few signs arguing against the fact that another defeat could follow on Thursday. Therefore, we could foresee the top-ranked player winning in straight sets.

Free Pick:

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