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Expert prediction

ATP Queens: Holger Rune vs. Mackenzie McDonald Preview, Odds, Head to Head, Picks (Jun 18)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Jun 17, 2025 at 5:21 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Rune vs. McDonald meet in the ATP Queens Round of 16.
  • McDonald won 6 of his last 7 matches.
  • Rune vs. McDonald H2H is 1-1 right now.

Holger Rune faces Mackenzie McDonald in the Round of 16 at the Queens in London. The Danish player is a favorite, though McDonald plays well these days.

How to Watch:

  • When: Wednesday, June 18, 12:30 pm ET
  • Where: Queens, London, England
  • How to Watch: Tennis Channel

Rune vs. McDonald Odds

PlayerOddsTotal
Holger Rune-30022.5
Mackenzie McDonald+21022.5

Match Preview

Rune started the tournament in Queens against O’Connell from Australia, easily dispatching the rival in straight sets, 2-0. It was 6-3, 6-4 for the Dane, who imposed his rhythm early on and, in general, played well in his first match on grass this year.

The No. 9 in the ATP rankings had 7 break points, converting two of them, and won 33% of the return points. Meanwhile, he has won 76% of his service points, which is a solid performance.

McDonald has won 6 out of the past 7 matches. He went to Hertongenbosch in the Netherlands, where he reached the Round of 16, losing to Karen Khachanov, 1-2, yet winning the previous three contests.

Click to see FIFA Club World Cup picks.

He won all three of his matches at Queens in straight sets, and his rivals were Kovacevic, Searle, and the legendary Gael Monfils. It was 6-4, 6-4 against the French, whose serve was poor, only 50% on the first attempt, which made things easier for McDonald.

Rune vs. McDonald Head to Head

There were two meetings between these two guys, both in 2023. One was at Indian Wells, where Rune won 0-2, and the other in Cincinnati, where Rune withdrew while losing 0-1.

Rune vs. McDonald Predictions

We take McDonald to defend a 1.5 set spread because the American plays well on grass right now. Rune is a massive favorite, but do remember that he only played just one game on grass this year. On the other hand, McDonald has won 6 out of 7 matches on this surface.

  • Free tennis picks: McDonald +1.5

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