Expert prediction
Madrid Masters: Jack Draper vs. Lorenzo Musetti Preview, Odds, Head to Head, Picks (May 2)
- Nikola Velickovic
- May 2, 2025 at 4:10 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Draper vs. Musetti Madrid Masters tennis odds favor Draper at -200.
- Draper leads 3-0 in H2H against Musetti.
- Musetti spent almost two hours more playing in Madrid than Draper.
Both of these guys are on roll, and in excellent form. Musetti didn’t win any titles this year unlike Draper, but he performs at the same level as the British tennis player.
How to Watch
- When: Friday, May 2, 2 pm ET
- Where: Mutua Open, Madrid, Spain
- How to Watch: Tennis Channel
Draper vs. Musetti Odds & Lines
| Player | Odds | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Draper | -200 | 22.5 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | +145 | 22.5 |
Game Preview
Draper is excellent this year, and it’s no wonder why he rises fast on the ATP rankings. Right now, he will pass the all-time GOAT, Novak Djokovic, in the No.5 Draper didn’t lose a set in Madrid, beating some pretty nasty rivals.
His victims were Griekspoor, Berrettini, Tommy Paul, and lastly, Matteo Arnaldi, whom he wiped out 6-0, 6-4. Let’s remind you that he won the Indian Wells earlier this season, though he had just one win on clay before Madrid, which was in Monte Carlo vs. Marcos Giron.
Jack Draper, World No.5. 😍🌟 pic.twitter.com/yDrCURuSrr
— LTA (@the_LTA) May 1, 2025
Musetti is the new Italian star. He was very good in the Monte Carlo Masters, reaching the finals but losing to Carlos Alcaraz in three sets. After starting a bit slower in Madrid the Italian accelerated.
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He was better than Etcheverry in the first round. After that, he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas after two tiebreaks and smashed Alex De Minaur and Gabriel Diallo in straight sets.
Draper vs. Musetti Head to Head
So far, these two guys met three times, and in each event, Draper was on the winning side. All three were on the hard surface, with the most recent in October last year in Vienna, 6-2, 6-4 for Draper.
Draper vs. Musetti Predictions
Even though Draper is the favorite according to odds, we won’t bet on his win. Musetti is in good form, which is why we picked over 22.5 games.
- Free tennis picks: Over 22.5 points
Tennis
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