Indian Wells: Holger Rune vs. Jack Draper Preview, Odds, Head to Head, Picks (Mar 16)

• Rune vs. Draper matchup will decide the Indian Wells champion.
• Holger Rune was better than Daniil Medvedev in the semifinals.
• Jack Draper eliminated Carlos Alcaraz in the other semis, 2-1.

Rune and Draper went against tennis odds to eliminate their rivals and set an unexpected Indian Wells finals. They will now compete for the title, Rune’s second ATP Masters 1000 and Draper for his first.

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How to Watch

• When: Sunday, March 16, 4 pm ET
• Where: Indian Wells, Tuscon, Arizona
• How to Watch: Tennis Channel

Rune vs. Draper Odds

Game Preview

Holger Rune dropped two sets in Indian Wells, one against Humert in the second round and one in the quarterfinals, where he met Griekspoor. He caught a good rhythm and pushed all the way in Indian Wells.

Despite being an underdog against Medvedev, the Danish player won in straight sets, beating the Russian 2-0, 7-5, 6-4. He had a slightly better serve and converted three of his four break points.

Jack Draper’s odds didn’t give him too many chances against Carlos Alcaraz, but the Australian fought bravely to eliminate the Spaniard 2-1.

After winning the opening set furiously, 6-1, Alcaraz responded even harder, 6-0. In the third set, we saw Draper edging out the rival, 6-4. He matched Carlitos’ energy, stepped up and took the W.

Rune vs. Draper Head to Head

There was one match in the past, at the 2024 ATP Masters 1000, where Rune beat Draper 2-0.

Rune vs. Draper Predictions

It’s evident that both guys play good tennis, though we need to say that Rune advanced against Medvedev due to the Russian’s mistakes. The Dane had 28 unforced errors as well, suggesting that he wasn’t that confident. Meanwhile, Draper competed with Alcaraz and had to adjust during the game to advance. So after analyzing both guys, we had to give Draper a slight edge and bet on his win.

• Free tennis pick: Jack Draper wins