Expert prediction
US Open: Frances Tiafoe vs. Ben Shelton Preview, Odds, and Predictions (Sep 11)
- Alex Dudley
- Sep 9, 2026 at 3:56 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Frances Tiafoe competing in his third US Open semi-final
- Ben Shelton playing in his second US Open semi-final
- Shelton holds a 3-1 head-to-head advantage
An All-American clash is set for the semi-final stage at the US Open on September 11, 2026. The tennis betting sites find it hard to separate Ben Shelton and Frances Tiafoe, with the former expected to be a narrow favorite due to his superior ranking. You can find the latest odds and our Frances Tiafoe vs. Ben Shelton picks here.
How to Watch
- When: Friday, September 11, 2026. TBA
- Where: Arthur Ashe Stadium, New York, USA
- How to Watch: ABC, ESPN
Frances Tiafoe vs. Ben Shelton Odds
Frances Tiafoe vs. Ben Shelton Preview
Two of the best American players on the ATP Tour collide in the final four of the US Open this week, as Frances Tiafoe and Ben Shelton battle for a spot in this year’s final.
Tiafoe will be playing in his third US Open semi-final, but he is yet to overcome the hurdle and reach a final at his home Grand Slam. The American’s chances of ending his wait for a final appearance looked slim in his semi-final against Alex Michelsen, as Tiafoe trailed 2-0 in sets and was a break down before staging a remarkable comeback on Tuesday. Big Foe’s character was on full display, evident after triumphing in a thrilling 10-point tie break to eventually record the win.
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Shelton will be competing in his third Grand Slam semi-final this week, and his second in New York. However, like Tiafoe, he is yet to reach a Grand Slam final. However, the 23-year-old looks like a player at the top of his game this year, and his confidence will be sky-high after stunning Carlos Alcaraz in a late-night finish under the lights on Tuesday.
The American came back from a set down against the heavy favorite to win the US Open, and he eventually held his nerve to record a stunning win in a tie-break finish in the fifth set. Fatigue could play a role in Friday’s semi-final, as Shelton’s win over Alcaraz was the latest ever finish at the US Open, with the four-hour and 28-minute clash eventually finishing at 3:30 AM ET.
Head-to-Head Record
Shelton holds the 3-1 head-to-head advantage against his compatriot, which includes a victory on U.S. soil in the ATP Tour event in Washington last year. This will be the third meeting between the Americans at the US Open, with both players winning a match apiece. Tiafoe won the latest encounter in five sets in the round of 32 in 2024.
Frances Tiafoe vs. Ben Shelton Picks
This should be a thrilling encounter between two stars that produced memorable performances in the quarterfinals. However, the extra rest could play to the strengths of Tiafoe, while matching the performance of his win against Alcaraz could be an issue for Shelton. Therefore, we foresee Tiafoe reaching a first Grand Slam final with a 3-2 win this Friday.
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