Expert prediction
US Open: Martin Damm vs. Frances Tiafoe Picks & US Open Day 2 Best Bets
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- When: Monday, August 31, 2026. 8:10 PM ET
- Where: Louis Armstrong Stadium, New York, USA
- How to Watch: ABC, ESPN
The fourth and final Grand Slam of the 2026 tennis season is well underway, with the eyes of the world on New York City for the US Open. A major shock has already come following Novak Djokovic’s stunning first-round exit, and Frances Tiafoe will be aiming to avoid another shock exit for a seeded player under the lights on Monday. You can find our best bets for day 2 of the US Open and our Martin Damm vs. Frances Tiafoe picks here.
Martin Damm vs. Frances Tiafoe US Open Preview
A first-round encounter between two American players is set for Monday evening at Louis Armstrong Stadium, as eleventh-seed Frances Tiafoe bids to avoid an early exit in the US Open against Martin Damm. But, could the unseeded U.S. outsider be capable of upsetting the odds in the Big Apple?
Martin Damm Stats, Form & US Open History
Martin Damm will be the massive outsider in the betting this week, as the 22-year-old bids to reach the second round of a Grand Slam for just the third time. His previous best showing at the US Open came 12 months ago, when he reached the second round for the first time.
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There is little to suggest that a massive upset could be on the cards, as Damm is yet to progress further than the second round in any ATP 1000 event in 2026. However, Damm did upset the odds in the recent Winston-Salem Open, beating Daniil Medvedev in straight sets in the round of 32 before exiting the competition in the following round against Fabian Marozsan.
Frances Tiafoe Stats, Form & US Open History
Frances Tiafoe will be a fan favorite on his return to the US Open this year, as he bids to recapture the form that has twice seen him reach the semi-final stage of his home major.
The American is currently ranked 12th in the world, and he would have gained confidence from a run to the final of the recent Cincinnati Masters. Tiafoe previously enjoyed a run to the final of the same warm-up event on his way to reaching the final four of the US Open in 2024.
His game excels on hard courts, having also reached the quarterfinals of the Miami Open earlier this year. Tiafoe thrives with his first serve, winning 75% of the points on hard courts in 2026.
Martin Damm vs. Frances Tiafoe US Open Picks
Tiafoe beat Damm in the round of 64 at last year’s US Open, and another win for the popular American appears likely based on the strength of his recent form this season. I could foresee Tiafoe going deep in the tournament this year, and he could prove to be a value play to win the Grand Slam title.
US Open Day 2 Best Picks
| Match | Pick |
|---|---|
| Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils |
| Matteo Arnaldi vs. James Duckworth | James Duckworth |
| Matteo Berrettini vs. Stan Wawrinka | Matteo Berrettini |
| Jakub Mensik vs. Shintaro Mochizuki | Jakub Mensik |
| Elsa Jacquemot vs. Marie Bouzkova | Marie Bouzkova |
| Harriet Dart vs. Peyton Stearns | Peyton Stearns |
| Maja Chwalinska vs. Taylor Townsend | Taylor Townsend |
| Sloane Stephens vs. Clara Tauson | Clara Tauson |
| Ann Li vs. Antonia Ruzic | Ann Li |
| Iga Swiatek vs. Wang Xiyu | Iga Swiatek |
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