Expert prediction
Packers vs. Patriots Week 9 Picks: New England’s Defense After Jordan Love
- Nikola Velickovic
- Nov 3, 2026 at 9:33 AM EST
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
The interconference matchup in Foxborough should be fun. Both the Packers and the Patriots are 5-3 and are after the top spot in their respective divisions. Patriots’ odds suggest they are more likely to win this event, but the Packers are in excellent shape and have their own plans.
Here are all our NFL picks, and before you check them out, hear why we bet on the Pats to win this event.
Sunday, Nov 8 ยท 4:25 PM ET ยท Gillette Stadium, Foxborough ยท Fox
Packers vs. Patriots Week 9 Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | +130 | +3 (-110) | Over 46.5 (-110) |
| Patriots | -155 | -3 (-110) | Under 46.5 (-110) |
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Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is still the league’s worst running team, averaging only 60.6 rushing yards per contest. Even with Josh Jacobs in the lineup, they didn’t improve in that area. Sure, Jacobs made their offense a bit more diverse, but the Packs are still very limited on the ground.
Yet even with that, this team has 4 wins in the past 5 appearances. The reason: fantastic defense. Packs allow 20.5 points per game, and the defensive unit often compensates for a one-sided offense.
New England Patriots
The Pats are 3-0 at home and look much better at Gillette Stadium than on the road. Drake Maye and the boys play at least a level better in front of their own fans, so when making straight-up picks, take this into account.
Their defense is the 9th-best in the NFL, allowing 20.2 ppg. They defend the run extremely well, with a robust scrimmage line that puts even the best rushers in the league to sleep.
Packers vs. Patriots Predictions
The Packers lead the league in dropped passes, with 23 through the first 8 games. Now, the Pats are among the best defenses in the NFL, while Jordan Love leads in QB hits absorbed (46). So all this points to the guests having a hard time at Gillette Stadium, and that we should bet on the Patriots to win.
- Free NFL Picks: Patriots win
Where to Bet on Packers vs. Patriots
All of the sportsbooks below accept US players and offer spreads, moneylines, totals and player props, plus a welcome bonus for new players. Here you can find all the NFL Week 9 ATS picks.
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