Expert prediction
UFC 310: Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Ian Machado Garry Prediction, Odds, and Picks (December 7)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Ian Machado Garry is the co-main event of UFC 310, which will take place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, December 7. If you’d like to bet on this fight, make sure to read our Rakhmonov vs. Garry preview to learn about odds, fighter stats, and more.
Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Ian Machado Garry Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Shavkat Rakhmonov | -350 |
| Ian Machado Garry | +285 |
When, Where, and How to Watch?
- Place: T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada
- Date: Saturday, December 7, 2024
- Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- How to Watch: PPV
Fight Preview
Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Ian Machado Garry is the UFC Welterweight title eliminator, meaning that the UFC 310 co-main event will be a 5-rounder.
Rakhmonov, who’s 18-0, has never stayed in the Octagon for more than three rounds. In fact, all of his wins were finished. Ian Machado Garry is 15-0 with 7 wins by decision, but he, too, has never fought a five-round bout before.
Knowing all this, it seems very likely that one of them will finish the other one. But who’s more likely to do it?
Judging by the Rakhmonov vs. Garry odds, the Kazakh fighter is more likely to get a finish on Saturday night in Vegas. He’s got 8 wins by KO/TKO, but he probably isn’t much better than Garry when striking is concerned.
However, he does have a huge advantage when it comes to grappling. Rakhmonov has 10 wins by submission in his portfolio, five of which happened in the six fights he’s fought since coming to the UFC.
Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Ian Machado Garry Prediction
Garry tends to do well against kickboxers, so if the UFC 310 co-main event turns into a striking duel, he’ll have an advantage. But we suspect that Rakhmonov will look to get him in the clinch.
READ ALSO: UFC 310: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Asakura Prediction, Odds, and Picks (December 7)
We know that grappling is Rakhmonov’s strongest weapon. What we don’t yet know is how good Garry is against prolific grapplers. The best grappler he’s fought in his career is Song Kenan, who managed to take him down twice but failed to finish him.
Given that Rakhmonov is much, much better than Kenan, we think he’s going to pull it off.
Free Pick:
- Shavkat Rakhmonov by Submission
MMA
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