Expert prediction
Australian Open 2025: Novak Djokovic vs. Alexander Zverev Preview, Odds, Prediction (Jan 23)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Novak Djokovic vs. Alexander Zverev is the semifinal match at the 2025 Australian Open.
- Tennis odds heavily favor Djokovic, whose win is priced at -166.
- Djokovic vs. Zverev H2H stats are in Novak’s favor, 8-4.
The semis in Melbourne brings together Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev, two big rivals who have faced one another 12 times in the past. Novak is the favorite per Australian Open odds, but we’ve seen Zverev upsetting the Serb in the past.
Check out: Jannik Sinner vs. Ben Shelton Preview, Odds, Prediction (Jan 23)
How to Watch
- When: Thursday, January 23, 10 pm ET
- Where: Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne, Australia
- How to Watch: Tennis Channel, ESPN
Djokovic vs. Zverev Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | -166 |
| Alexander Zverev | +170 |
Match Preview
Novak Djokovic might be fooling us all along. The way he played against Carlos Alcaraz shows that the 37-year-old Serb still has what it takes to compete with much younger players than him and that his physical level is still unreal.
After 3 hours and 35 minutes, he beat Carlitos 3-1, erasing the deficit after the opening set and rebuffing the surge from the other side. This is the 12th semis for Novak in Australia, where he has won 10 of the 24 Grand Slam titles. He previously beat Basaverddy, Faria, Machac, and Lehecka.
As for Zverev, his path here hasn’t been that tough. Apart from Tommy Paul in the quarterfinals, all of his rivals were mediocre: Lucas Pouille in the opening round, Pablo Martinez, Jacob Fearnley, and Ugo Humbert.
The German had only seven aces with 69% of the first serve against Paul, yet he won more or less easily. His mental power has been improved greatly, and we’ve seen that through two tiebreaks won in this event.
Novak Djokovic vs. Alexander Zverev Head-to-Head
Novak and Sasha have met 12 times so far, and the result is 8-4 for Djokovic. Their previous contest was in September 2023, in Cincinnati, where Novak routinely beat Zverev 3-0.
Novak Djokovic vs. Alexander Zverev Prediction
Novak has problems with his groin injury and his first serve, but we don’t believe that’s going to stop him here. Still, in order to pick the safest bet possible, we are going to choose tiebreak in a match. Zverev often plays tiebreaks, and we believe one will definitely happen here.
- Free Australian Open pick: Tiebreak – Yes
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