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Expert prediction

U.S. Open Props Odds, Picks, and Preview (2025)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Jun 11, 2025 at 5:33 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

The third major of the golf season is set for Oakmont Country Club this weekend. Scottie Scheffler will be a red-hot favorite to add to his major selection after dominating the PGA Championship last month. However, there are more betting markets available this weekend than just the outright winner. You can find odds for the U.S. Open props markets, including the 1st round leader and margin of victory, here.


How To Watch

  • When: Thursday, June 12, 2025- Sunday, June 15, 2025
  • Where: Oakmont Country Club, Pennsylvania
  • How To Watch: NBC/USA

U.S. Open 1st Round Leader Odds

PlayerOdds
Scottie Scheffler+900
Bryson DeChambeau+1800
Jon Rahm+2000
Rory McIlroy+2200
Ludvig Aberg+3000
Xander Schauffele+3300
Collin Morikawa+3500

U.S. Open Props Picks

Making a fast start at a major is by no means a positive aspect that means glory is in sight, but weekends can be ruined if stars aren’t able to get off to the perfect start. Oakmont will be a tricky course for all players this week, meaning that the first round leader market could be a lucrative betting option.

Xander Schauffele is a player who makes a lot of appeal in this market. The American has an excellent record in majors of starting quickly, and he has finished in the top ten of seven previous major championships. The fact that he goes out early is also a positive.

READ More: U.S. Open Odds, Preview, and Picks (2025)


U.S. Open Margin Of Victory Odds

Margin of VictoryOdds
Exactly 1 Shot+235
4 Shots or More+300
Exactly 2 Shots+375
Playoff Needed+375
Exactly 3 Shots+650

U.S. Open Prop Picks

There have been some close finishes at recent editions of the U.S. Open, with each of the last four being determined by a single shot. Most famously, Rory McIlroy squandered his advantage on the final day last year to finish a shot behind Bryson DeChambeau at Pinehurst.

The widest margin of victory since 2014 was achieved by DeChambeau in 2020 when he finished six clear of Matthew Wolff. Based on the recent trends, a one-shot winning margin could make the most appeal.


To Score a Hole in One at the U.S. Open Odds

PlayerOdds
Scottie Scheffler+10000
Rory McIlroy+12500
Bryson DeChambeau+12500
Justin Thomas+12500
Jon Rahm+12500
Other Selections+12500

U.S. Open Props Picks

Interestingly, only 48 holes in one have been recorded in the history of the U.S. Open. Therefore, it is little surprise to see huge prices for a player to achieve the feat at Oakmont this weekend.

Holes in one at this course are extremely rare, with just one player achieving the feat during a U.S. Open at Oakmont. Therefore, it would be challenging to predict that the feat is achieved this weekend.

Winning Nationality Odds

NationalityOdds
USA-170
Non-USA+140

U.S. Open Props Pick

The U.S. Open has been dominated by home players in recent memory, with each of the last two being won by Americans. This positive trend also sees eight winning U.S. players at the major in the last ten editions.

However, if you have read our outright piece for the event this weekend, then you will be aware that we are keen on the chances of a European winner at Oakmont this weekend.

Topics:

Golf

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