Expert prediction
US Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Alex de Minaur Picks, Odds, and Preview (Sep 3)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
The final quarterfinal clash in the men’s draw of the US Open will see Canadian star Felix Auger-Aliassime and Australian Alex de Minaur collide. Both players remain outside chances to win the Grand Slam this year, but which star will progress through to the final four? Find our picks here.
How To Watch
- When: Wednesday, September 3, 2025, at TBA
- Where: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center
- How To Watch: ESPN
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Alex de Minaur Odds
Head-to-Head Record
Felix Auger-Aliassime holds the narrow advantage based on previous encounters, having won two of the three head-to-head meetings. However, the latest clash between the stars was won by de Minaur at the ATP Masters in Rome in 2024.
Match Preview
Canadian star Felix Auger-Aliassime will likely have the crowd on his side in New York this week, as he bids to reach a Grand Slam semi-final for just the second time in his career. His only run to that deep stage was achieved at the US Open back in 2021, but he has since failed to make it past the second round.
The Canadian has already upset the odds on two occasions at Flushing Meadows, overcoming Alexander Zverev last week, before dominating Andrey Rublev to win in straight sets on Monday. His performances have caught the eye, but there will be increased pressure at this late stage of the Slam.
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Alex de Minaur has constantly threatened to put together a strong run of performances at a Grand Slam. But, it would be a slight concern that he is yet to go further than the quarterfinals, reaching this stage of a Slam for the fifth time since the start of last season.
The Australian’s performances have been very strong to this point, but he has enjoyed a straightforward run after beating four unseeded opponents. In the previous round, he dominated against Leandro Riedi, winning in three sets, and winning 73% of the points on the first serve.
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Alex de Minaur Picks
There is certainly value in this market on Wednesday. Felix Auger-Aliassime has already overcome seeded players to reach this stage of the Slam, and he has also won each of the two matches between the stars on a hard surface.
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