Expert prediction
Arsenal vs. Burnley Picks – Betting Preview, Team News, and Predictions (May 18)
- Alex Dudley
- May 15, 2026 at 3:21 AM EDT
- When: Monday, May 18, 2026. 3:00 PM ET
- Where: Emirates Stadium, London, England
- How to Watch: NBC
Arsenal vs. Burnley Preview
Arsenal are just two wins away from winning their first English Premier League title in over 20 years. Their final home fixture of 2025-26 will see the Gunners host relegated Burnley. Arsenal will be heavily favored to record the victory that they require to move within one of title success.
ALSO SEE: Preakness Stakes Picks – Horse Racing Odds, Betting Preview, and Predictions (May 16)
Arsenal Stats & Team News
- Overall Record: 24-7-5
- Home Record: 14-2-2
- Road Record: 10-5-3
Mikel Arteta will be aware that his side are within two victories of securing a first top-flight title since the mid-2000s. The Gunners needed to ride their luck in last weekend’s win at West Ham, with David Raya making a world-class save at a crucial stage of the fixture.
Since losing against Man City, the Gunners have won three successive matches in the EPL. It is also noteworthy that they have a 100% record against teams that have already been relegated. The Gunners have also avoided defeat in their last 44 home matches against promoted teams.
Likely Line-Up:
(4-3-3): Raya (GK); Mosquera, Gabriel, Saliba, Calafiori; Eze, Rice, Lewis-Skelly; Saka, Gyokeres, Trossard
Burnley Stats & Team News
- Overall Record: 4-9-23
- Home Record: 2-6-10
- Road Record: 2-3-13
Burnley have already been relegated from the Premier League, and they will be aiming to avoid finishing bottom of the standings. The Clarets have struggled throughout the campaign, allowing 2.03 goals per game, and scoring just 1.03 per fixture.
However, they have an interesting trend of winning their final away game in the season, winning two of their previous nine. But, their overall poor run of results is impossible to overlook, with just one victory in their previous 27 fixtures.
Likely Line-Up:
(4-2-3-1): Weiss (GK); Walker, Tuanzebe, Esteve, Pires; Luis, Ugochukwu; Tchaouna, Antony, Larsen; Flemming
Head-to-Head Trends
- Arsenal have suffered just one defeat in their last 19 Premier League fixtures against Burnley.
- The Clarets have never scored more than one goal in their previous EPL clashes with the Gunners.
Arsenal vs. Burnley Picks
This should be a straightforward assignment for the Gunners to move within one win of the Premier League title. However, a nervy evening could test the home fans, meaning that a low-scoring win to nil looks like the most likely outcome. Therefore, from a value perspective, Burnley on the spread makes appeal.
Soccer
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