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Expert prediction

BMW PGA Championship Picks, Odds & Betting Preview (Sep 17-20)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Sep 15, 2026 at 5:04 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • When: Thursday, September 17, 2026 – Sunday, September 20, 2026
  • Where:  Wentworth Club, England   
  • How to Watch: Golf Channel

After correctly predicting the +2800 winner of last weekend’s Irish Open, we will be looking for back-to-back wins on the DP World Tour this week. The BMW PGA Championship will have a world-class field involved, ensuring a competitive betting heat at the best golf betting sites. You can find the odds and our BMW PGA Championship picks here. 

BMW PGA Championship Odds

PlayerOdds
Rory McIlroy+950
Jon Rahm+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1400
Tommy Fleetwood+1400
Matt Fitzpatrick+1800
Viktor Hovland+1800
Joaquin Niemann+2000
Other Selections+2500 & Bigger

BMW PGA Championship Recent Winners

YearWinning Player
2025Alex Noren
2024Billy Horschel
2023Ryan Fox
2022Shane Lowry
2021Billy Horschel

Event Information

StatInformation
Par72
Length7,267 Yards
FormatStroke Play
Prize Fund$9 Million
Tournament Record ScoreBrian Bamford (266) An Byeong-hun (-21)

ALSO SEE: Presidents Cup Picks, Odds & Betting Preview (Sep 24-27)

Event Preview

The high-quality DP World Tour action on the road to the World Tour Championship continues at the Wentworth Club this weekend, as a purse of $9 million will be up for grabs at the BMW PGA Championship. The field will compete across 7,267 yards at the stroke play event, with the winning player given an exemption into next year’s U.S. Open and the next three Open Championships.

Rory McIlroy will head the betting this weekend, despite fading at the recent Irish Open to finish T41. McIlroy previously won the BMW PGA Championship in 2014, and he has finished as the runner-up on three occasions since then.

Shane Lowry was our big winner last weekend, as the Irishman dominated his home event to finish eleven shots clear. He could hold interesting claims once again this weekend after winning the BMW PGA Championship in 2022, and finishing as the runner-up in 2014.

Jon Rahm endured a frustrating return to the DP World Tour last weekend, finishing only T23 at the Irish Open. However, the Spaniard’s consistency ensures that he is a dangerous contender, and his form looks reliable on paper after winning the 2026 LIV Golf Championship.

Joaquin Niemann should also be competitive at Wentworth this weekend. The Chilean made an excellent return to the DP World Tour last weekend, finishing T2 at the Irish Open and shooting an excellent three-under in the final round.

BMW PGA Championship Picks

Aaron Rai is the sleeper pick in the betting this weekend. The PGA Champion has been reliable throughout the campaign, but his chances this weekend are built on his excellent record at Wentworth, finishing T2, T4, and T3 on his previous three starts at the course. His driving accuracy will be rewarded on the greens this weekend, and he is far too big at the odds to ignore when making BMW PGA Championship picks.

Free Pick:

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