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Expert prediction

BMW Championship Picks, Odds, and Preview (2025)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Aug 12, 2025 at 5:15 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

The high-quality action during the FedEx Cup Playoffs continues this weekend, as Caves Valley Golf Club hosts the BMW Championship. The world’s best golfers will be in action in Maryland, but which stars will build momentum following an enthralling St. Jude Championship last time out? Find our BMW Championship picks here.


How To Watch

  • When: Thursday, August 14, 2025 – Sunday, August 17, 2025
  • Where: Caves Valley Golf Club, Maryland
  • How To Watch: Golf Channel

Odds

PlayerOdds
Scottie Scheffler+285
Rory McIlroy+800
Xander Schauffele+1500
Ludvig Aberg+1800
Cameron Young+2000
Tommy Fleetwood+2200
Patrick Cantlay+2500
Other Selections+2800 & Bigger

Recent Winners of the BMW Championship

YearWinning Player
2024Keegan Bradley
2023Viktor Hovland
2022Patrick Cantlay
2021Patrick Cantlay
2020Jon Rahm
2019Justin Thomas

Event Preview

The world’s best players will be in action at Caves Valley Golf Club this weekend, as the Maryland course hosts the BMW Championship. This event has been on the PGA Tour since 2007, and the top-50 ranked players will be in action over the 7,366-yard course.

An enthralling opening event of the playoffs saw a captivating final round at TPC Southwind, with a playoff eventually seeing Justin Rose outlast J.J. Spaun in the St. Jude Championship. Tommy Fleetwood had appeared on course to claim a first PGA Tour win, but his final round saw his chances slip away.

READ More: The Open Championship Odds, Preview, and Picks (2025)

As is typically the case, Scottie Scheffler will be the player to beat this weekend. The American finished a shot off the lead at the St. Jude Championship last weekend, continuing his run of finishing in the top eight on his last 12 starts.

Rory McIlroy should be fresh this weekend after bypassing the St. Jude Championship. McIlroy has returned to form since his Masters hangover in recent months, finishing in the top ten on his last three starts. Well-rested since The Open, and impossible to rule out his claims.

Rose continued his excellent campaign with a victory last weekend, and that could bode well for the BMW Championship. In the 18 years of the FedEx Cup Playoffs, on eight occasions players have won back-to-back events to start the series.


BMW Championship Picks

A red-hot edition of the BMW Championship is set for this weekend, but I’m keen on the chances of Ludvig Aberg. The Swede has finished in the top ten on two occasions at the event, and he finally looked back to near his peak following injury when taking a share of ninth last time out.

Free Picks:

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