Breeders’ Cup Turf 2026 Picks, Odds, Leading Contenders, Betting Insights & Analysis

The feature race on the grass at Keeneland during this year’s season-ending, two-day North American horse racing festival is the G1 Breeders’ Cup Turf.

A high-quality field of international challengers will be involved in the Breeders’ Cup race, with a lucrative purse of $5 million up for grabs. The field will cover a total distance of 1 ½ miles.  

As expected, European raiders will dominate the betting for the race, having won each of the last six editions. But, can the American fortunes change at Keeneland? Find the latest odds and our Breeders’ Cup Turf picks can be found here.

Breeders’ Cup Turf 2026 Odds

Horse	Trainer	Odds
Diamond Necklace	Aidan O’Brien	+220
Bay City Roller	George Scott	+800
Benvenuto Cellini	Aidan O’Brien	+800
Tiffany	Sir Mark Prescott	+800
Ethical Diamond	Willie Mullins	+1600
Burnham Square	Ian Wilkes	+1600
Test Score	Graham Motion	+1600
Minaret Station	William Walden	+1600

Latest odds taken from an offshore sportsbook. Check back to find the latest BetOnline odds for the Breeders’ Cup.

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Breeders’ Cup Turf Information

Breeders’ Cup Turf	Information
Date	Saturday, October 31, 2026
Time	5:36 PM ET
How to Watch	NBC, Peacock, FanDuel TV
Distance Covered	1 1/2 Miles
Prize Money	$5 Million
Most Successful Trainer	Aidan O’Brien (7)
Most Successful Jockey	Frankie Dettori, Ryan Moore (5)

ALSO SEE: Canelo Alvarez vs. Christian Mbilli Picks, Vegas Odds & Betting Preview (Oct 31)

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Breeders’ Cup Turf Betting Trends

• European raiders have won the last six editions of the Turf and ten of the previous eleven.
• Nine of the previous 12 winners have been aged four or older.
• There have only been four winning favorites of the Breeders’ Cup Turf since 2014.
• Ten of the previous 12 winners have recorded at least two wins in the season leading up to the Turf.
• Nine victors since 2014 have won at least once in Grade One company before landing the Turf.

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Breeders’ Cup Turf Recent Winners

Year	Horse	Jockey/Trainer	Starting Odds
2025	Ethical Diamond	Dylan Browne McMonagle/Willie Mullins	+2800
2024	Rebel’s Romance	William Buick/Charlie Appleby	+190
2023	Auguste Rodin	Ryan Moore/Aidan O’Brien	+250
2022	Rebel’s Romance	James Doyle/Charlie Appleby	+596
2021	Yibir	William Buick/Charlie Appleby	+850

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Breeders’ Cup Turf 2026 Leading Contenders

Benvenuto Cellini (Aidan O’Brien)

Aidan O’Brien-trained Benvenuto Cellini will likely head the betting for the Breeders’ Cup Turf this year, with connections already indicating that their plan is to run at Keeneland. The three-year-old was disappointing in the G1 Epsom Derby in June, ruled a non-runner after getting caught in the stalls.

He made amends for that mishap to win the G1 Irish Derby, before running a stormer to finish third behind Kalpana and Calandagan in the G1 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot. If at that level, he is a major contender.

However, he has been slightly underwhelming since that effort, finishing only fifth when a heavy odds-on favorite in the G2 Prix Niel. I wouldn’t put him at the same level as previous O’Brien contenders in this race, and he is only likely at the top of the market because of the excellence of his trainer.

Ethical Diamond (Willie Mullins)

The shock winner of the 2025 Breeders’ Cup Turf will be back to defend his crown, but a repeat success looks harder to foresee based on Ethical Diamond’s form this season. The six-year-old last finished behind Tiffany in the Grade Two Kentucky Turf Cup, after previously winning a fairly straightforward contest at Leopardstown.

Has come up short against proven Graded operators this season, finishing ninth in the Group Two Hardwicke Stakes and fifth in the Group One Dubai Sheema Classic. Likely to be regressing, which goes against the Willie Mullins star. Meanwhile, Keeneland is unlikely to suit his hold-up style and will limit his chances of making a move at the last possible minute.

Bay City Roller (George Scott)

George Scott-trained Bay City Roller will be one of the most interesting contenders if taking his chance at Keeneland this year. The New Bay colt was largely regarded as a soft ground specialist following his dominant ten-length win in the G1 Coronation Cup at Epsom in June.

However, he showed that he isn’t as ground-dependent as many thought when chasing home reigning Arc champion Daryz in the G2 Prix Foy. Few other horses can boast that level of form.

The Scott yard has been in excellent form throughout this season, and Bay City Roller’s back catalog of performances is also reliable, having finished a neck second behind last year’s Derby winner Lambourn in the G2 Huxley and putting an emphatic seven lengths between himself and recent Graded winner Tiffany in the G1 Preis von Bayern.

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Breeders’ Cup Turf Dark Horse to Consider

With an unpredictable betting market expected, there are horses at bigger prices worth considering for the Breeders’ Cup Turf. Among those is the George Boughey-trained Survie.

The five-year-old mare showed an electric turn of foot to beat Minaret Station in the G1 Christophe Clement Stakes at Saratoga, and she was also a dominant winner over Storm Miami in the G2 Glens Falls Stakes on her only other American run. Best to forgive her latest effort when only tenth in the G1 Prix Vermellie, as Longchamp isn’t a track that suited her closing style. Back on U.S. turf, she will be seen in a much better light.

She has form mixing in with some high-class performers, notably through Ancient Egypt, who was beaten three lengths in mid-August. The same horse only finished a neck behind Maltese Cross, who is widely considered to be the best European three-year-old colt this season. At odds of +2000, she is a key dark horse worth considering.

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Breeders’ Cup Turf 2026 Picks

An ultra-competitive edition of the Breeders’ Cup Turf is set for Keeneland this year, and as expected, cases can be made for many of the European raiders. That is a logical angle, given that European turf horses are a level above their American counterparts.

Diamond Necklace brings a stellar resume to the Turf this year for the team for Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore. The three-year-old ran a career-best effort, finishing third in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe despite being handed the widest draw of all.

She is a dual Classic winner in France this season, winning the Group One Poule d’Essai Des Pouliches and Group One Prix de Diane with relative ease. Has since followed that up with a dominant win in the Group One Nassau, beating Friendly Soul by two lengths. She is extremely uncomplicated, winning on ground from heavy to good, and will be a contender, sitting in a prime position to dominate in the closing stages.

• Diamond Necklace to Win the Breeders’ Cup Turf
• Breeders’ Cup Turf Trifecta Box: Diamond Necklace, Bay City Roller, Tiffany, Susie