Expert prediction
Epsom Derby Prediction, Preview, and Odds (June 1)
- Alex Dudley
- May 30, 2024 at 3:34 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Britain’s richest flat race takes place at Epsom Downs on Saturday
- The world-famous Derby has been staged annually since 1780
One of the biggest horse racing events on the planet will take place at Epsom this weekend, as the 2024 Derby is staged. Horses aged three will compete in the race over a distance of a mile and four, with the contest being the most prestigious of the five Classics in the United Kingdom.
How To Watch
- When: Saturday, June 1, 2024
- Where: Epsom Downs, Surrey, England
- How To Watch: FanDuel TV
Odds
| Horse | Odds |
|---|---|
| City of Troy | +300 |
| Los Angeles | +350 |
| Ancient Wisdom | +400 |
| Ambiente Friendly | +600 |
| Dancing Gemini | +1100 |
| Macduff | +1400 |
| Bellum Justum | +2000 |
| Deira Mile | +2500 |
Match Preview
The world-famous Derby will be staged at Epsom this weekend, as a field of horses aged three compete over a mile and four. This race was first held in 1780, and it is one of the most significant editions of the contest this year, as it is the first that doesn’t boast any runners sired by Galileo.
Aidan O’Brien has won this race on a record nine occasions, and he boasts leading chances at the head of the betting. City of Troy was a superstar at two, but he underperformed on his return to action when finishing at the back in the G1 1,000 Guineas. However, that bodes well, with the last three runners to have competed at Newmarket before lining up at Epsom all winning. That includes last year’s victor, Auguste Rodin.
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City Of Troy is the best horse we've seen since _________. 📝 pic.twitter.com/x1YcCA8hnR
— William Hill Racing (@WillHillRacing) October 14, 2023
O’Brien also saddles the unbeaten Los Angeles. He has been workman-like throughout his career to this point, but it was hard not to have been impressed by his battling qualities shown when landing the Leopardstown Trial in May. The Dante has been a notable stepping stone to the Derby, meaning that Ancient Wisdom for the Godolphin team is hard to dismiss, especially if the forecasted rain arrives.
Ambiente Friendly is another runner of note, but the decision of owners to put Robert Havlin aboard could backfire. Bellum Justum will be our second choice in the Derby this weekend for the Andrew Balding yard. The three-year-old is one of few with Epsom experience, having landed the trial over a mile and two last month by just under a length.
Epsom Derby Prediction
City of Troy is incredibly hard to support following his performance in the 1,000 Guineas. Therefore, narrow preference is given to his stablemate, Los Angeles. At a price, Macduff could out-run his odds after battling to an excellent second over a mile and two behind the unfortunate but talented Arabian Crown at Sandown.
Free Pick:
- Los Angeles
- Dark Horse: Macduff
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