Expert prediction
Pennsylvania Derby Picks, Odds, and Preview (Sep 20)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
One of the final Grade One races for horses aged three this season will be staged at Parx on Saturday, as a talented field will go to post in the G1 Pennsylvania Derby. You can find the odds and picks for one of the most important prep races ahead of the Breeders’ Cup here.
How To Watch
- When: Saturday, September 20, 2025, at 6:00 PM ET
- Where: Parx Racing, Pennsylvania
- How To Watch: FanDuel TV
Pennsylvania Derby Odds
| Horse | Odds |
|---|---|
| Baeza | +200 |
| Goal Oriented | +350 |
| Gosger | +400 |
| Magnitude | +650 |
| David of Athens | +1000 |
| Other Selections | +1200 & Bigger |
Latest odds taken from an offshore sportsbook. Correct as of 09/17/25
Recent Winners of Pennsylvania Derby
| Year | Winning Horse |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Seize The Grey |
| 2023 | Saudi Crown |
| 2022 | Taiba |
| 2021 | Hot Rod Charlie |
| 2020 | Not Held |
Race Preview
The G1 Pennsylvania Derby typically throws up a very talented winner, with many recent victors having followed up with a bold showing at the Breeders’ Cup. The race will be run over nine furlongs on the dirt at Parx, and a talented field of ten runners will be involved this weekend.
Baeza looks like the obvious starting point when assessing the runners. The John Shirreffs runner has won once from seven starts, but his efforts behind Journalism and Sovereignty indicate his high level of form. That includes last time out when beaten just a length by the latter in the G2 Jim Dandy.
READ More: Cook Out Southern 500 Picks, Odds, and Preview (Aug 31)
Goal Oriented is the runner for Bob Baffert this weekend, and he has been a high-class performer in top level company. He took his form to a new level last time out when beaten just under a length by Journalism in the G1 Haskell Stakes at Monmouth Park. He could still be improving.
Brendan Walsh’s Gosger matches up closely with Goal Oriented on the G1 Haskell form after finishing in a dead heat for second. The three-year-old also finished within a length of Journalism in the G1 Preakness Stakes in mid-May. Likely to go close once again over his preferred distance.
Pennsylvania Derby Picks
The top three in the betting all have form that ties in closely with the two standout three-year-old horses this season. However, there is a feeling that Goal Oriented could still be the progressive horse in this field. Therefore, Baffert’s runner could lead home a talented field.
Free Picks:
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