Expert prediction
NFL Week 17: Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders Preview, Odds, Picks (Dec 25)
- Nikola Velickovic
- Dec 22, 2025 at 5:30 AM EST
- Cowboys vs. Commanders open the NFL Christmas Day program.
- Dallas Cowboys are 5.5-point favorites.
- The TOTAL went OVER in 5 of Dallas’ last 6 matches.
Christmas is everyone’s favorite time of year, especially for NFL fans. This year’s gridiron program starts in DC, where the Commanders host the Cowboys.
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How to Watch
- When: Thursday, December 25, 1 pm ET
- Where: Northwest Stadium, Landover, Maryland
- How to Watch: Netflix
Cowboys vs. Commanders Odds
Game Preview
The Dallas Cowboys are out of the playoffs, but they can’t come to Washington relaxed, because this game is against the division rivals. After losing the Chargers 34-17 at home this weekend, another defeat would be a slap in the face for all the fans, and Jerry Jones, too.
Dak Prescott is the only bright spot in Dallas, consistently posting good performances. He had 244 passing yards and two touchdown passes against the Chargers, using George Pickens perfectly. The WR had 130 receiving yards in 7 catches.
With the Eagles' win Saturday, the Dallas Cowboys now have been mathematically eliminated from playoff contention. pic.twitter.com/wvISCpEsxm
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) December 21, 2025
Washington is 1-9 in the last 10 games, with the sole win coming in New York two weeks ago against the Giants, 29-18. Last Saturday, we saw them host the Super Bowl champs, the Eagles, and lose 29-18.
Marcus Mariota had 95 passing yards, while Josh Johnson had 43 with one interception. Both touchdowns for the Commanders came on the ground, one by Chris Rodriguez Jr. and the other by Jacory Croskey-Merritt.
Cowboys vs. Commanders Head to Head
This is an old division rivalry, and so far we have seen 131 games, with the Cowboys winning 80, the Commanders 49, and two encounters saw no winners.
When it comes to the latest contests, Dallas won at home, 44-22, in mid-October. The Cowboys have won 7 of the last 9 contests.
Cowboys vs. Commanders Predictions
The Dallas Cowboys have offensive firepower, but their defense is terrible, and that’s something everyone already knows. The Commanders have lately allowed 25+ points and, from time to time, scored the same. In this case, it’s reasonable to expect to see both, and that’s why we pick OVER 50.5 points.
- Free NFL Picks: Over 50.5 points
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