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Expert prediction

NFL Odds, Predictions: Chiefs vs. Dolphins Week 3 Preview & Picks (Sep 27)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Sep 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Chiefs vs. Dolphins odds favor Kansas City at -850.
  • Miami hasn’t recorded a single sack in its first two games.
  • Patrick Mahomes is the top favorite for the Comeback Player of the Year award.

The Chiefs did well in the opening two rounds, which can’t be said for the Dolphins, who opened the year with back-to-back losses.

Check for more NFL odds and picks here.

How to Watch

  • When: Sunday, September 27, 1 PM ET
  • Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
  • How to Watch: CBS

Chiefs vs. Dolphins Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotals
Chiefs-850-11.545.5
Dolphins+575+11.545.5

Game Preview

After taking down the Colts 33-30 on Monday Night Football following an OT, the Chiefs (2-0) find themselves atop the AFC West. Patrick Mahomes had 382 passing yards for three passing touchdowns and is undoubtedly the No.1 favorite for the Comeback Player of the Year award.

Running back Kenneth Walker III was excellent again, logging 117 rushing yards and 61 receiving yards, and so far the explosive runner has notched 290 rushing yards overall. Walker III added an extra dimension to the Chiefs’ offense, which now looks upgraded.

Malik Willis and the Fins (0-2) didn’t start well. Though, we need to say that Miami had back-to-back games on the road, one against the Raiders 13-27 and one against the 49ers 13-35. They now face a tough task at home, up against one of the Super Bowl favorites.

Willis has 417 passing yards for one touchdown and one pick, while RB De’Von Achane posted only 110 rushing yards on 31 carries. In the meantime, the defense is terrible, with the Miami Dolphins not recording a single sack so far.

Chiefs vs. Dolphins Predictions

Even though they play on the road, the Chiefs shouldn’t have any problems against the Fins. Simply, they are in way better shape and are better in every aspect of play, therefore, we pick the guest to win.

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