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Man United vs. Man City Picks, Odds, Props, and EPL Betting Analysis — Defensively Vulnerable Red Devils to Come Up Short in Manchester Derby?  

  • Alex Dudley
  • Sep 10, 2026 at 4:59 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Man United have failed to keep a clean sheet in three EPL fixtures in 2026-27.
  • Man City have won four straight matches in all competitions under Enzo Maresca.
  • Red Devils chasing successive Manchester Derby wins for the first time since 2011.

The standout matchup in the Premier League this weekend comes from Old Trafford, as the first Manchester derby of the season sees United host City. The Red Devils will be outsiders to at the best soccer betting sites, as the Citizens chase a fifth straight victory in all competitions. You can find the Man United vs Man City odds and our EPL picks here.

Man United vs. Man City Odds

Match ResultOdds
Man United+210
The Draw+270
Man City+114
Total Goals: Over/Under 3-119/-102

How to Watch

  • When: Sunday, September 13, 2026. 11:30 AM ET
  • Where: Old Trafford, Manchester, England
  • How to Watch: NBC, Peacock

ALSO SEE: NFL Week 1: Cardinals vs. Chargers Preview, Odds, Predictions (Sep 13)

Man United vs. Man City EPL Preview

United Yet to Show Consistency in Carrick’s First Full Season

It has been a patchy start to the Premier League season for Man United, as the Red Devils have won just once in the opening three rounds of fixtures. Failure to see out a win against Everton was costly, as United looked in complete control before conceding a 94th minute equalizer.

Home form has continued to be a strength for the Red Devils under Michael Carrick, with United winning nine of their previous ten. Over that period, United have also scored at least twice in every win recorded.

Bruno Fernandes has been a standout player for the team so far this season, scoring three times and registering one assist. Carrick will still be without the injured Carlos Baleba, but Mason Mount will be in contention to start.

Likely Lineup:

(4-2-3-1) Lammens (GK); Dalot, Maguire, Martinez, Shaw; Mainoo, Tielemans; Mbeumo, Fernandes, Rashford; Sesko

City Hitting Their Stride Under Maresca

Enzo Maresca’s reign at Man City may have started in a disappointing Community Shield defeat against Arsenal, but the Citizens have bounced back to form emphatically with four straight wins in all competitions.

City’s attacking output has been excellent, with seven goals scored in their previous three. Defensive improvement has also been evident in recent fixtures, keeping clean sheets in their previous two.

Erling Haaland has scored three in his last two appearances, and his immediate connection with Enzo Fernandez has been a positive. Fernandez has already racked up two assists since a blockbuster move from Chelsea on Deadline Day. Jeremy Doku is the only player missing for the Citizens for the trip to Old Trafford.

Likely Lineup:

(4-1-4-1) Donnarumma (GK); Nunes, Dias, Guehi, Gvardiol; Anderson; Semenyo, Cherki, Fernandez, Ndiaye; Haaland

Head-to-Head Stats

  • Man United recorded a 2-0 win over Man City in January, but the Red Devils haven’t recorded successive wins in Manchester Derbies since 2010-11.
  • Man City have won just one of their last four clashes against Man United.
  • BTTS has been a losing selection in each of the last three head-to-heads.

Man United vs. Man City EPL Picks

The first Manchester Derby of the season promises to be a thrilling affair. However, United’s inability to keep clean sheets is a major concern, especially against a City side that have found their stride in the final third of the field. It is also notable that City have two extra days to prepare for the Derby, as United are in Champions League action on Thursday. Therefore, at the Man United vs Man City odds, the away win makes the most appeal.

Man United vs. Man City Props Picks

A high-scoring encounter should be expected at the Theatre of Dreams on Sunday. Despite having a weak defensive record, United’s main strength is their attacking output, having scored seven in their previous two and registering at least one goal in nine of their last ten at Old Trafford. Erling Haaland could have a significant say on derby day, as the Norwegian has scored three in his last two in all competitions, and he has registered eight goals in seven appearances against United.

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