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Australian Open 2025: Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz Preview, Odds, Prediction (Jan 20)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Jan 19, 2025 at 6:42 AM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz meet at the Australian Open quarterfinals.
  • Novak leads 4-3 in head-to-head matches against Alcaraz.
  • Djokovic defeated Alcaraz in the Paris Olympics finals this summer.

Each time Novak Djokovic and Carlso Alcaraz meet, it’s a spectacle. Why? Because it is a battle between the past and future of tennis and two great players, one of them probably the best ever and the other his potential replacement.

How To Watch

  • When: Monday, January 20, 2025, 7 pm ET
  • Where: Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne, Australia
  • How To Watch: ESPN, Tennis Channel

Australian Open Odds

PlayerOdds
Novak Djokovic+180
Carlos Alcaraz-195

Game Preview

Novak Djokovic is in the quarterfinals after relatively easy wins in the first four rounds. He did start the campaign slightly slower than expected, but that’s his usual pattern here in Australia. After dropping a set against Basavareddy and Faria, he significantly accelerated.

He would first trash Tomas Machac in straight sets and then Jiri Lehecka. That’s quite impressive, knowing that these guys are seeded players in Melbourne.

Carlos Alcaraz is even more confident. Carlitos has lost just one set in Australia. It was in the third round against Nuno Borges and in a tiebreak. But his response was ruthless, 6-2 in the closing set.

Alcaraz was better than Shevchenko, Nishioka, and Jack Draper in other events. The fourth round was against Draper, who forfeited following the second set due to an injury. Alcaraz led 2-0 in those moments.

Novak Djokovic vs. Calros Alcaraz Head-to-Head

Novak leads 4-3 against Carlitos. The previous battle between these two was at the Olympic Games in Paris, when Djokovic beat Carlos 2-0 in the finals. Though, Alcaraz was better in the Wimbledon finals, 3-0.

Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Australian Open tennis odds favor Alcaraz, and honestly, that’s realistic. Novak played well in these four rounds, but he is 37 years old. Of course, age doesn’t have to mean anything, but here, we have to pick Alcaraz to win. He looks more aggressive, and his overall performance has been very confident. Also, unlike Novak, he didn’t oscillate at all.

  • Free Australian Open pick: Carlos Alcaraz wins

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