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Expert prediction

Men’s US Open Outright Winner Odds, Preview, and Picks (2025)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Jul 17, 2025 at 4:38 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

The fourth and final Grand Slam of the tennis season is right around the corner, and the best players on the ATP Tour will be aiming to join the plethora of greats by winning the US Open at Flushing Meadows. You can find the odds and our picks for the 2025 event here.


How To Watch

  • When: Sunday, August 24, 2025 – Sunday, September 7, 2025
  • Where: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, New York
  • How To Watch: ESPN

Odds

DriverOdds
Jannik Sinner+125
Carlos Alcaraz+175
Novak Djokovic+350
Alexander Zverev+850
Jack Draper+1200
Daniil Medvedev+1600
Taylor Fritz+2500
Other Selections+2800 & Bigger

Recent Winners of the Men’s US Open

YearWinning Player
2024Jannik Sinner
2023Novak Djokovic
2022Carlos Alcaraz
2021Daniil Medvedev
2020Dominic Thiem
2019Rafael Nadal

Event Preview

All eyes will be on New York City from the end of August, as the curtain comes down on the 2025 Grand Slam season. The US Open is the most prestigious tennis competition in North America, and it is played on a hard court.

Jannik Sinner could be challenging to overlook as the outright winner in 2025 after reaching the finals in each of the three prior Grand Slams this calendar year. Last year’s champion will also be in red-hot form after recently landing success at Wimbledon for the first time in his career.

READ More: The Open Championship Odds, Preview, and Picks (2025)

Carlos Alcaraz is likely to be his most dangerous rival, as the Spaniard chases a second success at Flushing Meadows. Alcaraz was the winner of the French Open earlier this season, but he is yet to reach the final in a hard court Slam since winning the US Open in 2022.

Four-time US Open champion Novak Djokovic isn’t getting any younger, but the Serbian legend continues to defy expectations to perform at the very highest level. His consistency ensures that he will be a leading contender, especially after reaching the final four at the Australian Open earlier this year.

American hopes will likely hinge on Taylor Fritz, who previously won the juniors title at the US Open in 2015. His recent form is strong after reaching the final four at Wimbledon, while he has a game tailored to a hard surface after winning at Indian Wells in 2022 and reaching the US Open final 12 months ago.


Men’s US Open Outright Winner Pick

Sinner will be an incredibly hard player to overlook this year after reaching five Grand Slam finals since the start of 2024. However, at the odds, Jack Draper could be a player flying under the radar.

The British star has already excelled on the hard surface in the U.S. this year after winning at Indian Wells, and he should be capable of bouncing back from a disappointing run at Wimbledon.

Free Picks:

  • Jack Draper (+1200)

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