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Expert prediction

National Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alex Michelsen Picks, Odds, and Preview (Jul 31)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Jul 30, 2025 at 4:40 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

The competitive action in the men’s draw at the National Bank Open continues on July 31, as the round of 32 gets underway. American contender Alex Michelsen will be a huge underdog in the betting to continue his excellent form, as he comes up against third seed Lorenzo Musetti. Find the odds and our picks here.


How To Watch

  • When: Thursday, July 31, 2025 at TBD
  • Where: Sobeys Stadium, Toronto, Canada
  • How To Watch: Tennis Channel

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alex Michelsen Odds

PlayerOdds
Alex Michelsen+136
Lorenzo Musetti-160

Head-to-Head Record

This week’s clash in the round of 32 will be a first head-to-head meeting between Alex Michelsen and Lorenzo Musetti on the ATP Tour.


Match Preview

Alex Michelsen will be a huge outsider in the betting to reach the next round at the National Bank Open this week. However, the American’s game has progressed excellently in recent months, and he currently sits in a ranking of 34th in the world. Michelsen has already shown his ability on a hard court this season after reaching a career-best fourth-round at the Australian Open.

However, he will need to rediscover that form if he is to upset the odds on Thursday. The American is yet to scale the same heights, and that was visible at the recent Cincinnati Open after suffering a straight sets exit in the round of 32 against Dan Evans. But, a return to winning ways did arrive in the previous round in Canada after overcoming Marcelo Barrios Vera.

READ More: The Open Championship Odds, Preview, and Picks (2025)

Due to a number of top players bypassing the tournament in Canada, Lorenzo Musetti is seeded third. Therefore, the Italian will be among the leading contenders to win the National Bank Open. Musetti produced a dominant display in the previous round, as he easily came through a challenge against James Duckworth in straight sets.

But, Musetti’s best performances have often come on non-hard surfaces. He reached the third round at last year’s US Open, but has already progressed further at other majors such as Wimbledon and the French Open during his career.


Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alex Michelsen Picks

Michelsen looked back to somewhere near his best in the previous round of the tournament in Canada. However, Musetti also showcased his dominance in the round of 64. Based on rankings and current form, the Italian is hard to oppose on Thursday.

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