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Expert prediction

US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Rebeka Masarova Picks, Odds, and Preview (Aug 24)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Aug 22, 2025 at 2:55 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

The final Grand Slam of the tennis season gets underway in New York on August 24, 2025. Reigning women’s champion Aryna Sabalenka will open her campaign in the first match of the tournament, as she comes up against Rebeka Masarova. You can find the odds and picks here.


How To Watch

  • When: Sunday, August 24, 2025, at 12:00 PM ET
  • Where: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center
  • How To Watch: ESPN

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Rebeka Masarova Odds

PlayerOdds
Aryna Sabalenka-5000
Rebeka Masarova+1800

Head-to-Head Record

This will be the second meeting between Sabalenka and Masarova this calendar year. The previous clash came during the WTA Tour event in Berlin, with Sabalenka winning in straight sets.


Match Preview

All eyes will be on the world number one this weekend, as Aryna Sabalenka gets her US Open title defense underway. Despite being the top-ranked player in the world, the Belarusian is yet to win a Grand Slam event in 2025. However, she has twice lost in the final. Her consistency at the highest level demands respect, as she has only failed to reach the semi-final stage in one of the last 12 Slams.

Sabalenka is the defending US Open champion this year, and she boasts a remarkable 82% win rate in New York. However, she will need to respond following a rare heavy defeat in the quarterfinals of the Cincinnati Masters, losing in straight sets against Elena Rybakina, and winning just five games.

READ More: Cook Out 400 Picks, Odds, and Preview (Aug 16)

Rebeka Masarova will be a huge underdog this weekend. The Swiss player failed to qualify for the recent Cincinnati Masters, and also failed to make the cut at the National Bank Open main round at the end of July. The 26-year-old is currently ranked 99 in the world, and it could be argued that her best performances throughout her career have come on the clay.

Masarova has failed to qualify for two of the last three editions of the US Open, with her joint-best showing seeing her reach the second round in 2023. However, her performances throughout the Slam season have been underwhelming, failing to qualify for any major in 2025.


Aryna Sabalenka vs. Rebeka Masarova Picks

This should be a very straightforward assignment for Sabalenka this weekend. The world number one has been dominant throughout the year, and she looks like an outstanding chance to win the US Open. A straight sets victory looks like a solid betting angle on Sunday.

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