Expert prediction
United States Grand Prix F1 Qualifying Odds & Picks (Oct 24)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- When: Saturday, October 24, 2026 @ 5:00 PM ET
- Where: Circuit of the Americas, Austin, Texas
- How to Watch: AppleTV
All eyes will be on the Circuit of the Americas this weekend, as Kimi Antonelli could be crowned Formula 1 Drivers’ World Champion for the first time. Qualifying at COTA is always vital, with the pecking order for Sunday’s Grand Prix being determined in Austin, Texas on Saturday. You can find the latest F1 qualifying odds and our F1 picks for Saturday here.
United States Grand Prix 2026 F1 Qualifying Betting Odds
| Driver | F1 Qualifying Odds |
|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | +125 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +250 |
| Lando Norris | +750 |
| George Russell | +850 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +1200 |
| Charles Leclerc | +1200 |
| Oscar Piastri | +1800 |
| Other Selections | +2200 & Bigger |
How to Bet On United States Grand Prix Qualifying
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United States Grand Prix Qualifying Recent Results
| Year | Driver | Constructor | Pole Time |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing | 1:32.510 |
| 2024 | Lando Norris | McLaren | 1:32.330 |
| 2023 | Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | 1:34.723 |
| 2022 | Carlos Sainz | Ferrari | 1:34.356 |
| 2021 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing | 1:32.910 |
ALSO SEE: Breeders’ Cup Classic Picks, Odds, Leading Contenders, Betting Insights & Analysis
Grand Prix Qualifying Preview
Qualifying is always one of the most exciting sessions of the Formula 1 weekend, and that will once again be the case at this weekend’s United States Grand Prix. The drivers will tackle the 5.513-km track at maximum pace in the hope of setting the fastest time to start on pole in Sunday’s race.
Max Verstappen has been a dominant driver at COTA in recent years, setting the fastest lap in qualifying for the second time in five years last year. The Dutchman’s pace in the second half of the season once again makes him a logical contender, having finished on pole in each of the last two qualifying sessions.
Ferrari also has an excellent record in quali at COTA, finishing with the quickest time in two of the last four seasons. Their one-lap pace has been excellent throughout the season, with Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton both starting in the first three positions at the recent Singapore Grand Prix. Hamilton has also started on the first two rows in each of the last two Grand Prix.
Mercedes is undeniably the standout car in F1 this season, and all eyes will be on Antonelli this weekend, as he bids to become world champion. The Italian hasn’t started on pole since Belgium, but he has finished in the top three in qualifying in the Netherlands, Spain, and Bahrain since then.
United States Grand Prix F1 Qualifying Picks
Verstappen has been in a league of his own in recent weeks, and his one-lap pace around COTA is unquestionable. Therefore, he looks like the logical contender to start on pole for the second straight edition of the United States Grand Prix this Sunday.
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