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Expert prediction

ATP Nitto Finals: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Andrey Rublev Preview, Odds, Head to Head, Picks

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Nov 12, 2024 at 6:04 AM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Carlos Alcaraz vs. Andrey Rublev ATP Nitto Finals matchup will be extremely significant.
  • Alcaraz lost three of the previous four matches.
  • Rublev is even worse, losing four of the previous five events.

Both guys suffered defeats in their opening matches at the ATP Masters Finals in Turin. They now have to win this one to keep their chances for the semis alive. Stay with us to see some tennis betting picks.

Thursday Night Fotoball Commanders vs. Eagles Preview, Odds, Prediction

How to Watch:

  • Where: Palasport Olimpico, Turin, Italy
  • When: Wednesday, November 13, 8 am ET
  • How to Watch: Tennis TV

Odds

PlayerOdds
Carlos Alcaraz-300
Andrey Rublev+250

Game Preview

Well, we sure as hell couldn’t predict Alcaraz’s loss to Ruud in straight sets. More than 70% of tennis bets on that event suggested his victory via the same margin. However, the Norwegian sliced the Spanish player, ending the first set in 36 minutes to win it 6-1.

Alcaraz’s fans are worried because he lost three of his previous four games. That’s definitely a sign of declining form. However, Carlitos is always dangerous, and he just might start playing without any pressure and get back in the saddle real quick.

When talking about poor form, Rublev is in an even worse situation. The Russian has had four defeats in the last five matches. Here in Turin, we saw Alexander Zverev beating Rublev in straight sets in just 73 minutes of play, which tells enough about the balance of power in that clash.

The Russian won only 20% of points on Zverev’s second serve and failed to defend both of the rival’s two break points. This tells enough as well.

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Andrey Rublev Head to Head

The last time these two met was at the Masters in Madrid, when, surprisingly, Rublev won 2-1. He leads 2-1 in direct matchups against Alcaraz.

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Andrey Rublev Prediction

We don’t know which player is in a worse state, which makes this tennis prediction very hard. Though, we believe that Alcaraz should come out on top and secure a victory. His overall quality is much higher than Rublev’s.

  • Alcaraz vs. Rublev Pick: Alcaraz Wins

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