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Hull vs. Aston Villa Picks, Odds, and EPL Betting Analysis — Villans to End Winless Start to the New Season?

  • Alex Dudley
  • Sep 1, 2026 at 10:47 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • When: Saturday, September 5, 2026. 12:30 PM ET
  • Where: MKM Stadium, Hull, England
  • How to Watch: NBC
Match ResultOdds
Hull+400
The Draw+270
Aston Villa-120
Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5-111/-111

Hull vs. Aston Villa EPL Preview

Aston Villa will be aiming to end their winless start to the 2026-27 Premier League season this weekend when they travel to the MKM Stadium to take on newly promoted Hull City. Despite winning back-to-back games at the start of the campaign, the Tigers will be outsiders at the best soccer betting sites, but could the newly promoted club maintain their dream return to the EPL?

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Hull Overachieving on EPL Return

Hull City were expected to struggle in this season’s Premier League following their promotion last term. However, the Tigers have looked at home on their return to the top-flight, winning back-to-back clashes against Coventry City and Manchester United. Hull have excelled defensively, having kept back-to-back clean sheets in their matches to this point.

However, the underlying numbers could indicate that issues may be on the horizon. Despite keeping successive shut outs, the Tigers have allowed an average xGA of 1.84. That indicates that they are conceding too many clear openings. They will be punished for that at some point at the highest level. Charlie Hughes, Matty Jacob, and Oscar Zambrano are all out injured this weekend.

Likely Lineup:

(5-4-1) Tzolakis (GK); Coyle, Ajayi, Egan, Mendy, Giles; Stroud, Morita, Slater, Belloumi; McBurnie

Villa Struggling After Losing Key Players

It has been a miserable start to the new Premier League season for Unai Emery’s Aston Villa, as the club have lost successive matches without scoring. Losing key attacking stars such as Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers has been key to their attacking weakness, and that was visible in their latest outing, as they failed to register a single shot on target against Arsenal.

Zion Suzuki was an impressive performer on his EPL debut, making two saves. New signings such as Leon Goretzka, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, and Ibrahim Mbaye could all be handed first-team debuts for the Villa on Saturday. However, teenage striker Brian Madjo misses out due to injury.

Likely Lineup:

(4-2-3-1) Suzuki (GK); Cash, Torres, Lindelof, Maatsen; Goretzka, Kamara; McGinn, Hemmings, Mbaye; Jackson

Head-to-Head Stats

  • Aston Villa have lost just once on their last eight trips to the MKM Stadium.
  • Villa have won six of their eight EPL clashes between the two clubs.
  • Hull have won just once in their previous 14 matches against Villa in all competitions.

Hull vs. Aston Villa EPL Picks

This could be a perfect opportunity for Villa to get their form back on track. The visitors boast a dominant head-to-head record against the Tigers, while Hull may have won back-to-back games to start the new campaign, their underlying metrics indicate that they will be put to the sword against a proven EPL team in the very near future.

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