Expert prediction
Sam F Davis Stakes Picks, Odds & Preview (Feb 7)
Before the full attention turns to the Super Bowl betting odds, there will be important action on the Road to the Kentucky Derby on Feb 7. Find the odds and our picks for the Sam F Davis Stakes here.
Sam F Davis Stakes: How to Watch
- When: Saturday, February 7, 2026 @ 5:30 PM ET
- Where: Tampa Bay Downs, Florida
- How to Watch: FanDuel TV
Sam F Davis Stakes: Race Information & Records
| Stat | Information |
|---|---|
| Race Distance | 1 1/16 Miles |
| Most Successful Trainer | Todd Pletcher (7) |
| Most Successful Jockey | John Velazquez (4) |
| Purse | $250,000 |
| Kentucky Derby Qualifying Points | 20-10-6-4-2 |
Sam F Davis Stakes Odds
| Horse | Odds |
|---|---|
| Renegade | +187 |
| Confessional | +225 |
| The Puma | +800 |
| Dr. Kapur | +900 |
| Epic Desire | +900 |
| Ocelli | +1200 |
| Other Selections | +1400 & Bigger |
ALSO SEE: Super Bowl LX: Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots Preview, Odds, Picks (Feb 8)
Sam F Davis Stakes: Recent Winners
| Year | Winning Horse | Winning Jockey | Winning Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | John Hancock | Flavien Prat | Brad Cox |
| 2024 | No More Time | Paco Lopez | Jose D’Angelo |
| 2023 | Litigate | Luis Saez | Todd Pletcher |
| 2022 | Classic Causeway | Irad Ortiz | Brian Lynch |
Race Preview
One of the most informative early season Kentucky Derby preps could be set for Tampa Bay Downs on Saturday, as the prep ahead of the lucrative Tampa Bay Derby is staged. Seven previous horses have completed the double, while Todd Pletcher holds the record for the most wins the in the Sam F Davis Stakes.
Renegade represents the Pletcher stable this weekend. The three-year-old is yet to win in three starts under rules, but positives could have been taken from his second in the G2 Remsen Stakes last time. However, back-to-back runner-up finishes is somewhat of a concern.
Brad Cox’s Confessional appears to be the main danger according to the odds available. The three-year-old was an excellent winner on debut, setting an Equibase rating of 97. However, was just below that level on his return effort at Gulfstream Park.
The Puma is the contender from the Gustavo Delgado yard on Saturday. However, the three-year-old is yet to win under rules, having finished second on debut at Gulfstream last month. Well-bred and should be an interesting chance.
Dr. Kapur was well beaten on his latest start, finishing sixth in the G2 Jockey Club at Churchill Downs. Could be forgiven, but a huge turnaround in form will be required on Saturday.
Sam F Davis Stakes Picks
I think the favorite is hard to trust this weekend, meaning that Confessional is the play. The Cox-trained runner has winning experience under rules, and positives could have been taken from his return effort. Likely needed that run for fitness, and should produce a better display at Tampa Bay Downs this weekend.
Free Pick:
Horse Racing
More Predictions
Woodbine Picks Today: Best Bets for Saturday, Nov 7
Best bet: Lupa, Race 7 (+100 ML) Value pick: Ultimate Authority, Race 10 (+800 ML) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline Every race day at Woodbine, we handicap the full card and give you a pick in every race, plus a best bet and a value selection the morning line might have […]
Belmont Park Picks Today: Best Bets for Saturday, Nov 7
Best bet: Ted Noffey, Race 8 (+160) Value pick: Iron Orchard, Race 9 (+1200) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline A busy afternoon of horse racing action at Belmont Park is set for Saturday, November 7, with four stakes races on the ten-race program. We have handicapped all races at Belmont Park […]
Del Mar Picks Today: Best Bets for Friday, Nov 6
Best bet: Jodi Bear, Race 6 (+300 ML) Value pick: Private Gem, Race 2 (+300 ML) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline Whether it’s the summer meet or the fall meet, Del Mar always brings big fields and plenty of turf racing, and that means value for anyone willing to do the […]
Churchill Downs Picks Today: Best Bets for Saturday, Nov 7
Best bet: Lambeth, Race 8 (+180 ML) Value pick: Poster, Race 6 (+300 ML) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline Every race day at Churchill Downs, we handicap the full card and give you a pick in every race, along with our best bets and the horses we think the morning line […]
Horse Racing Predictions Today: Best Bets for Churchill Downs, Charles Town, Parx and Horseshoe Indianapolis (Nov 4)
Best pick: Stanka (Horseshoe Indianapolis, Race 2) +160 Best value pick: Massachusetts (Churchill Downs, Race 7) +1000 Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline The dust may have settled on the 2026 Breeders’ Cup, but the horse racing action keeps coming thick and fast. Wednesday brings a 10-race card at Churchill Downs, while […]