Expert prediction
Tampa Bay Derby Stakes Picks, Odds & Preview (Mar 7)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
The Road to the Kentucky Derby continues this weekend with an informative prep set for Tampa Bay Downs. You can find the odds and our Tampa Bay Derby picks here.
Tampa Bay Derby: How to Watch
- When: Saturday, March 7, 2026 @ 5:35 PM ET
- Where: Tampa Bay Derby, Florida
- How to Watch: FanDuel TV
Tampa Bay Derby Odds
| Horse | Odds |
|---|---|
| Redland Rebels | |
| Talkin | |
| Roger That Dana | |
| Hulkamania | |
| Powershift | |
| Further Ado | |
| Thunder Buck | |
| The Puma | |
| Canaletto |
Race Information & Records
| Stat | Information |
|---|---|
| Race Distance | 1 1/16 Miles |
| Purse | $400,000 |
| Most Successful Trainer | Todd Pletcher (6) |
| Most Successful Jockey | Richard Migliore, Pat Day, Eibar Coa, Daniel Centeno, John Velazquez, Jose Ortiz (2) |
| Kentucky Derby Qualifying Points | 50-25-15-10-5 |
ALSO SEE: Straight Talk Wireless 500 Picks, Odds & Preview (Mar 8)
Tampa Bay Derby: Recent Winners
| Year | Horse | Jockey | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Owen Almighty | Irad Ortiz Jr | Brian Lynch |
| 2024 | Domestic Product | Tyler Gaffalione | Chad Brown |
| 2023 | Tapit Trice | Luis Saez | Todd Pletcher |
| 2022 | Classic Causeway | Irad Ortiz Jr | Brian Lynch |
Race Preview
The G3 Tampa Bay Derby has been an informative prep race on the Road to the Kentucky Derby since the turn of the millennium, with both Street Sense and Super Saver lining up in the Tampa Bay prep before winning the opening leg of the Triple Crown.
Further Ado looks like a very interesting contender that is set to dominate the betting for Brad Cox, having set a blistering speed figure at Churchill Downs at the end of November when landing the G2 Jockey Club Stakes. Makes his three-year-old bow this weekend, and there’s plenty to like about this son of Gun Runner.
Gustavo Delgado sends The Puma to Tampa Bay this weekend, but the three-year-old will likely need to improve on his third in the Sam F. Davis Stakes last time to feature. However, the fitness advantage will at least give the Essential Quality colt a fighting chance.
Thunder Buck will need to improve massively after finishing last in the Lecomte Stakes last time, while Hulkamania looks better suited to the turf, and Roger That Dana will need to progress after finishing second in the Mucho Macho Man.
Powershift is a fascinating contender for Chad Bown, setting a red-hot figure when winning by 13 lengths on debut. Could be capable of taking the step up in grade in his stride. Canaletto sports a similar profile for the same yard, winning eye-catchingly at Gulfstream last time by a yawning eight-length margin.
Tampa Bay Derby Picks
It could be best to forgive Talkin’s effort in the G2 Remsen last time out, as that could have been one race too many in his juvenile campaign. Showed ability over a mile when second behind Napoleon Solo in the G1 Champagne, and has winning form over Further Ado from Saratoga last August.
Free Pick:
Horse Racing
More Predictions
Woodbine Picks Today: Best Bets for Saturday, Nov 7
Best bet: Lupa, Race 7 (+100 ML) Value pick: Ultimate Authority, Race 10 (+800 ML) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline Every race day at Woodbine, we handicap the full card and give you a pick in every race, plus a best bet and a value selection the morning line might have […]
Belmont Park Picks Today: Best Bets for Saturday, Nov 7
Best bet: Ted Noffey, Race 8 (+160) Value pick: Iron Orchard, Race 9 (+1200) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline A busy afternoon of horse racing action at Belmont Park is set for Saturday, November 7, with four stakes races on the ten-race program. We have handicapped all races at Belmont Park […]
Del Mar Picks Today: Best Bets for Friday, Nov 6
Best bet: Jodi Bear, Race 6 (+300 ML) Value pick: Private Gem, Race 2 (+300 ML) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline Whether it’s the summer meet or the fall meet, Del Mar always brings big fields and plenty of turf racing, and that means value for anyone willing to do the […]
Churchill Downs Picks Today: Best Bets for Saturday, Nov 7
Best bet: Lambeth, Race 8 (+180 ML) Value pick: Poster, Race 6 (+300 ML) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline Every race day at Churchill Downs, we handicap the full card and give you a pick in every race, along with our best bets and the horses we think the morning line […]
Horse Racing Predictions Today: Best Bets for Churchill Downs, Charles Town, Parx and Horseshoe Indianapolis (Nov 4)
Best pick: Stanka (Horseshoe Indianapolis, Race 2) +160 Best value pick: Massachusetts (Churchill Downs, Race 7) +1000 Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline The dust may have settled on the 2026 Breeders’ Cup, but the horse racing action keeps coming thick and fast. Wednesday brings a 10-race card at Churchill Downs, while […]