Expert prediction
Freeway Insurance 500 Picks, NASCAR Betting Odds, Analysis, and Preview (Oct 18)
- Alex Dudley
- Oct 12, 2026 at 6:01 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- When: Sunday, October 18, 2026 @ 3:00 PM ET
- Where: Phoenix Raceway, Avondale, Arizona
- How to Watch: USA
The end of the NASCAR Cup Series calendar is creeping into sight, with the fourth-to-last race of the Cup Series Chase set for Phoenix Raceway on October 18. The pressure will be heating up on the drivers toward the top of the Drivers’ Championship. Chase Briscoe will be a leading contender after winning back-to-back races, and you can find the latest NASCAR betting odds and our Freeway Insurance 500 picks here.
Freeway Insurance 500 NASCAR Betting Odds
| Driver | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ryan Blaney | +375 |
| Christopher Bell | +450 |
| Denny Hamlin | +550 |
| Joey Logano | +600 |
| Kyle Larson | +775 |
| Chase Briscoe | +800 |
| Tyler Reddick | +1200 |
| Other Selections | +1600 & Bigger |
How to Bet On Freeway Insurance 500
These are the best sportsbooks for U.S. bettors to place wagers on the Freeway Insurance 500:
Sportsbook ratings
BetOnline
Our rating 9.8/10
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Our rating 9.8/10
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Lucky Rebel
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Freeway Insurance 500 Recent Winners
| Year | Winning Driver |
|---|---|
| 2025 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2024 | Joey Logano |
| 2023 | Ross Chastain |
| 2022 | Joey Logano |
| 2021 | Kyle Larson |
ALSO SEE: Breeders’ Cup Classic Picks, Odds, Leading Contenders, Betting Insights & Analysis
Event Preview
The second of two races to be staged at Phoenix Raceway on the NASCAR Cup Series schedule is set for this Sunday, as the Freeway Insurance 500 will see the field compete across 312 miles, which is made up by a total of 312 laps. This race has been dominated by Team Penske in recent years, with Joey Logano winning two of the previous four editions.
Kyle Larson will be the driver to beat, with his strong runs across all one-mile intermediate venues likely to be a key reason for strong market support. Larson has won twice in the six postseason races, and is yet to finish outside of the top six.
Christopher Bell is a specialist driver at Phoenix Raceway, and his Drivers’ Championship credentials remain strong as he sits third in the standings. Bell was a winner at Darlington recently, and was the runner-up at last weekend’s Bank of America 400.
Chase Briscoe brings the standout recent form into this weekend, with his back-to-back wins seeing him climb up to fourth in the Drivers’ Championship. Denny Hamlin should also be respected, having finished in the top ten in four of the last five rounds.
Freeway Insurance 500 Picks
Joey Logano could be the interesting contender when assessing the NASCAR betting odds this weekend. Team Penske has dominated this weekend’s race, with three wins in the last four editions. Logano has won the Freeway Insurance 500 twice since 2022, and his postseason form has been reliable with a win and four further top-ten finishes.
Free Pick:
Nascar
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