Expert prediction
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Leylah Fernandez Picks, Odds, and Preview (Aug 29)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
The US Open third-round continues on August 29, 2025, as world number one Aryna Sabalenka bids to maintain her solid form against Canadian Leylah Fernandez. You can find the odds and picks here.
How To Watch
- When: Friday, August 29, 2025, at TBD
- Where: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center
- How To Watch: ESPN
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Leylah Fernandez Odds
Head-to-Head Record
A second career meeting between Fernandez and Sabalenka headlines the third-round card. Fernandez holds a 1-0 record against the world number one, beating the Belarusian in three sets in the US Open semi-finals in 2021.
Match Preview
World number one Aryna Sabalenka remains a red-hot favorite to win the US Open this year, and she will be aiming to banish the ghosts of her 2021 semi-final defeat against Leylah Fernandez on Friday. Sabalenka has been excellent on the Tour this year, but she is yet to win a Grand Slam title in 2025, losing in two finals and reaching the final four at Wimbledon.
However, she has looked like a player possessed at Flushing Meadows so far this year. Sabalenka has overcome her previous two opponents in straight sets, which included a battling display against Polina Kudermetova in round two on Wednesday.
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Leylah Fernandez is no stranger to surprise results, notably reaching the final of the US Open back in 2021. The Canadian has continued to play at a high level this year, and she has risen to 33rd in the world rankings. Fernandez has already achieved career-best showings at both the Australian Open and Wimbledon this year.
The 22-year-old battled through in the previous round, dropping the first set against Else Jacquemot before ultimately winning decisively. However, she can ill-afford a slow start this week against the world number one.
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Leylah Fernandez Picks
A thrilling rematch of the famous semi-final between the stars is set for this week. However, we fully expect Sabalenka to avenge her 2021 defeat, and the world number one could achieve that in straight sets on Friday.
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