Arlington Million Picks – Horse Racing Odds, Betting Preview, and Colonial Downs Predictions (Aug 1)

• When: Saturday, August 1, 2026 @ 5:52 PM ET
• Where: Colonial Downs, Virginia
• How to Watch: FanDuel TV

The biggest weekend of the season at Colonial Downs is set for Saturday, as a spot at the Breeders’ Cup later this year will be up for grabs in the G1 Arlington Million. Burnham Square will be a likely favorite with the best horse racing betting sites. But, which horse will dominate the competition in Virginia?   

Arlington Million Odds

Horse (Draw)	Odds
Dresden Row (1)	+550
Layabout (2)	+2500
Fort Washington (3)	+1200
Integration (4)	+550
Burnham Square (5)	+137
Test Score (6)	+400
Mercante (7)	+1600
Gran Oriente (8)	+1400

Latest odds taken from an Offshore Sportsbook. BetOnline markets open on the day of the race.

Race Information & Records

Stat	Information
Race Distance	1 ¼ Miles
Purse	$1,000,000
Most Successful Trainer	Chad Brown (4)
Most Successful Jockey	Laffit Pincay Jr, Cash Asmussen, Jose Santos, Jerry Bailey, Gary Stevens, Ramon Dominguez, Irad Ortiz, Florent Geroux (2)

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Arlington Million: Recent Winners

• 2025– Fort Washington (Junior Alvarado/Claude McGaughey)
• 2024– Nations Pride (William Buick/Charlie Appleby)
• 2023– Set Piece (Florent Geroux/Brad Cox)
• 2022– Santin (Tyler Gaffalione/Brendan Walsh)
• 2021– Two Emmys (James Graham/Hugh Robertson)

Arlington Million: Betting Preview

High-quality action on the turf is set for Colonial Downs this weekend, as the G1 Arlington Million features a high-class field. A purse of $1 million is up for grabs in the richest race to be staged in Virginia, and cases can be made for plenty of the runners involved.

Burnham Square always promised to be a high-class performer on the turf, and the son of Liam’s Map has progressed excellently this season with three wins in stakes company. He was excellent when holding off Chapman’s Peak in the Chorleywood Stakes last month, and he gets a nice pull at the weights over many rivals on Saturday.

Fort Washington won this race 12 months ago, and he could become just the second horse to win the Arlington Million on two occasions. He has looked below that standard so far in 2026, most recently finishing seventh in the G2 Wise Dan.

Integration was a very disappointing odds-on favorite in the Arlington Million last year, but positives can be drawn from his fifth in the G1 Manhattan Stakes in June. Should be capable of going well after running an excellent second in the Arlington Million in 2024.

Dresden Row is one of the most unexposed horses in this field for trainer Todd Pletcher. After winning on back-to-back starts, he was an eye-catching third in the G2 Wise Dan; finishing ahead of Fort Washington. Mercante should be capable of better again after finishing within a length of the winner in the Wise Dan.

Arlington Million Picks

At the prices, Test Score looks like a value play for the Graham Motion team. The four-year-old was an excellent winner of the G1 Pegasus World Cup Turf earlier this year, and wasn’t beaten far by Deterministic in the G1 Manhattan Stakes. A hot pace will play to his strengths this weekend, and Manuel Franco is once again booked to take the ride. 

Free Pick:

• Test Score

Colonial Downs Picks for August 1

Race	Pick
Race 1- Maiden Claiming	It’s Fine
Race 2- Allowance Optional Claiming	Goodbye Note
Race 3- Maiden Special Weight	Charlotte’s Cay
Race 4- Andy Guest Stakes	Roja
Race 5- Petramalo Mile Stakes	Bravaro
Race 6- Tyson Gilpen Stakes	Wrong Shoes
Race 7- Reigh Count Stakes	Verifire
Race 8- Van Clief Stakes	Chasing Liberty
Race 9- G2 Secretariat Stakes	SEE HERE
Race 10- G2 Beverly D. Stakes	SEE HERE
Race 11- G1 Arlington Million	SEE ABOVE
Race 12- Allowance	Knoty Knicks