Expert prediction
FCS Picks: #2 Tarleton State vs #8 Austin Peay Odds & Prediction (Oct 10)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Tarleton State improved to 5-0 following a 56-21 blowout victory over Chicago State.
- Austin Peay defeated New Haven 42-17, claiming a spot in the top-10 of the rankings.
- These teams last faced met on November 22, 2025, in a game that Tarleton State won 45-44.
In this week’s FCS picks, we’ll break down the Tarleton State vs Austin Peay matchup, featuring a battle of top-10 teams. They played a thriller last season in a 45-44 result, and are likely to hold another very competitive high-stakes matchup in this rematch.
Tarleton State Eyes FCS Top Spot
Tarleton State is one of the few remaining undefeated teams in the FCS. They’ve risen to #2 in the country, continuing this season with title aspirations. The Texans have emerged as one of the top teams in the FCS in recent years thanks to an influx in financing for their football program. After last season’s 45-44 thriller, expect Tarleton State to ride their phenomenal offense to another high-scoring performance.
Austin Peay Prepares for Key Matchup
Austin Peay nearly knocked off Tarleton State last season, and gets an opportunity to get revenge on Saturday. Home-field advantage will be massive for the Governors, as they seek to topple the #2 team in the country. Their defense will be put to the test this week against Tarleton State’s stellar offense, so they’ll need to be at their very best. Austin Peay’s best chance will come in the form of a hot start.
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#2 Tarleton State vs #8 Austin Peay NCAAF Pick
Tarleton State may be on the road for this game, but they have been dominant this season across the board. It would be foolish to bet against them, despite how close last year’s matchup was. This one should stay relatively close and go back and forth, but I ultimately see the Cowboys winning by a wider margin than last year. Take them to win this one by a score similar to 42-27.
NCAAF
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