Expert prediction
NCAAF: #1 Texas vs #14 Tennessee Preview, Odds, Picks (Sep 26)
- Keith McCarthy
- Sep 22, 2026 at 1:38 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Texas improved to 3-0 on Saturday, following a 30-6 victory over UTSA.
- Tennessee took down Kennesaw State 42-9, also climbing to 3-0 overall.
- These two teams last met on January 1, 1969, in a game that Texas won 36-13.
- Texas Longhorns -5.5
Texas and Tennessee face off in a key top-15 college football matchup. The Longhorns are favored to win this game after dethroning former #1 Ohio State in Week 2, but face a legitimate challenge on the road against the Volunteers.
Texas Looks to Maintain #1 Rank
The Longhorns dominated UTSA in Week 3, remaining atop the rankings after taking down #1 Ohio State in Week 2. Texas is led by QB Arch Manning, the Heisman frontrunner, giving them a real shot at making a deep run in the CFP this season. Their defense has also been exceptional, allowing just 36 points through three games. They’ll face a challenge against Tennessee’s offense, and will need to avoid allowing them a early burst of energy in their home stadium.
Tennessee Hosts Texas Seeking Major Upset
Tennessee hasn’t faced the toughest opposition yet this season, but they’ve been flexing their offensive muscle, averaging 48 points per game through the first three. They will be tasked with a much greater challenge against the Longhorns, who will bring one of the country’s best offenses into town. Tennessee will continue to rely on their top-5 ranked rushing attack to lead the way as they seek a stunning upset this week.
#1 Texas vs #14 Tennessee NCAAF Pick
Texas and Tennessee are two very capable teams that should fight this one out very closely. Though the Volunteers have the home-field advantage, their rushing-heavy offensive attack may not be enough to keep up with Arch Manning’s arms and the Longhorns offense. Take Texas to win this game on the road and cover, maintaining their #1 rank.
NCAAF
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